Bank of Canada: Policy seen on hold through 2026 – RBC

The post Canada: Trade surplus widens as investment rises – RBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Abbey Xu and Nathan Janzen note that Canada’s merchandise trade surplus increased to $4.2 billion in May from $3.4 billion in April, as exports grew and imports slipped. They highlight weaker energy price support, falling export volumes, and rising industrial machinery imports as signs of shifting demand and improving business investment within an uncertain trade environment. Surplus grows as volumes soften “Canada’s merchandise trade surplus widened to $4.2 billion in May from $3.4 billion in April (revised upward from $2.7B), as exports rose 0.9% while imports declined 0.2%.” “Still, monthly trade data are heavily influenced by commodity prices and individual product categories, making it important to look beyond headline values when assessing underlying conditions.” “Export volumes excluding price effects fell 0.5% in May, providing a clearer rea

The post National Bank of Poland: Wait-and-see stance holds – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak expect the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75% on 9 July and through year-end, with hikes ruled out and cuts seen as unlikely in the near term. They argue the easing cycle, interrupted by the Persian Gulf turmoil, will only resume once policymakers gain more confidence in the inflation outlook. NBP seen holding rates steady “With inflation back at the 2.5% target in June, we think the Polish central bank is likely to maintain its wait-and-see stance on 9 July. Rate hikes are off the table, while cuts remain unlikely in the near term. Rates should stay unchanged through year-end, although easing discussions may re-emerge later this year.” “At the beginning of June, rate forwards were pricing in more than three rate hikes, whereas by the start of this month some investors had already begun betting on rate

Japan's independent monetary policy signals global tightening, impacting carry trades and risk assets, while fiscal expansion continues domestically. The post Japan’s growth strategy minister pushes back on reports government wants lower interest rates appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The Fed's stance may lead to sustained higher interest rates, impacting borrowing costs and economic growth while prioritizing inflation control. The post Fed’s Waller: Rates won’t be lowered to help US finance deficits appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The eased inflation outlook may stabilize Canada's economic environment, potentially influencing monetary policy and business investment decisions. The post Bank of Canada survey shows eased inflation outlook as firms breathe easier after Iran ceasefire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

OPEC+'s output increase amid falling prices could ease inflation, potentially leading to lower interest rates and boosting risk assets like crypto. The post OPEC+ raises crude output despite falling prices, and crypto markets are paying attention appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Gold’s modern market history reflects decades of price swings shaped by inflation, interest rates, central bank actions, and geopolitical events. In open markets, gold has only been on the free market for the last 50-some years. Until the month of…

The clash over interest rates highlights potential market volatility and questions the Fed's independence, impacting investor confidence. The post Donald Trump and Kevin Warsh clash over interest rates, risking Wall Street turmoil appeared first on Crypto Briefing.