Bitcoin Prediction Markets Show $84K Ceiling as Traders Stack Bets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad

Strategy’s Bitcoin playbook is no longer just about buying dips. The company has turned its balance sheet into a capital machine built around one main objective of increasing the amount of Bitcoin it controls without weakening the amount of Bitcoin attached to each share.  Recent filings by the company now show that it is planning to repurchase $1.5 billion principal amount of 2029 convertible notes. Strategy Is Getting Closer To 1,000,000 Bitcoin Strategy’s latest reported Bitcoin reserve shows how far the company’s accumulation strategy has come. The firm’s Bitcoin purchase page lists 843,738 BTC, acquired at an average cost of $75,700 per Bitcoin.  Related Reading: Strategy Overtakes BlackRock’s Bitcoin Holdings, But Is Saylor Done Buying? This means Strategy now controls about 4.02% of Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million supply. The 1,000,000 BTC threshold would raise that share to about 4.76%, making Strategy one of the most important single holders in the Bitcoin market. At the current le

Bitcoin’s realized volatility sits at a 4-year low at -1.29, signaling a B-wave grind. Analysts warn a sharp C-wave expansion may be closer than traders think. Realized volatility on Bitcoin does not usually disappear this quietly. The composite z-score for BTC’s 30-day annualized realized volatility currently sits at -1.29, meaning the market is running well […] The post Bitcoin’s Volatility Regime Just Hit 1.29. Here Is What That Signals appeared first on Live Bitcoin News.

Polymarket's IPO prediction markets democratize access to private company valuations, potentially reshaping financial transparency and regulation. The post Polymarket taps Nasdaq data for private company prediction markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Polymarket partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to enable trading on private company valuations, IPO timing, and secondary share prices, with early markets on OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, and other unicorns.

Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market platform, has launched the first prediction markets tied to private company performance, using exclusive data from Nasdaq Private Market to resolve outcomes. Polymarket Taps Nasdaq Private Market Data to Resolve New Private Company Bets The move opens a segment of financial markets that has long been closed to most […]

Large Bitcoin holders increased their positions throughout volatile market conditions.

Canaan shares fell after the Bitcoin mining company disclosed an $88.7 million first-quarter net loss, its second straight negative period.

Nasdaq Private Market is becoming Polymarket's source of truth to resolve event contracts tied to privately held companies.