The proposed rules would preserve election markets and allow many sports-based prediction contracts while limiting bets that could encourage manipulation.
Kalshi opened more than 150 insider-trading investigations in the first quarter of 2026, blocked over 100 potential insider trades, and referred at least 20 cases to law enforcement. The CFTC-regulated prediction market paired the numbers Tuesday with a new risk-scoring framework,
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has unveiled its first regulatory framework for prediction markets, releasing what it described as a proposed approach to governing the industry under American law. The plan, issued by the agency on Wednesday, would establish standards for certain types of wagering while leaving markets tied to elections and politics largely outside the category of activities that would trigger more intensive scrutiny. Where The Line Is Drawn The new proposal sets out how the agency would start determining whether a contract should be prohibited. Under the draft, the CFTC said it preliminarily views both sporting wagers and wagers involving games of chance and pure luck as falling under “gaming.” At the same time, it suggests that wagering on sports outcomes is likely not broadly contrary to the public interest, while staking money on gambling or games of pure luck likely would be. The framework further argues that prediction markets based on sports
The CFTC's proposed regulations could streamline prediction markets, potentially reshaping state-federal dynamics and market operations.
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The CFTC's regulatory review could redefine prediction markets, impacting blockchain integration, insider trading prevention, and sports betting.
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The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has proposed a new framework for reviewing prediction market contracts that could reshape how platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi operate in the United States. According to a Wall Street Journal report, the CFTC…
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Wednesday, laying out a structured, contract-by-contract review process for event contracts that may involve terrorism, war, gaming, or other restricted activities under federal law. The move replaces an approach that prior CFTC leadership had tried and failed to advance. In 2024, […]
Kalshi's CFTC-approved perpetual futures surpassed $1 billion in trading volume within one week of launch, marking a milestone for regulated US crypto
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