The post Equities: Stagflation hit and chip-sector divergence – Deutsche Bank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Deutsche Bank strategists report that United States (US) equities weakened under a stagflationary backdrop. The S&P 500 fell with broad-based losses, while the Philly semiconductor index outperformed strongly. SK Hynix’s US ADR offering was heavily oversubscribed, and China may allow some domestic AI firms to buy Nvidia H200 chips, supporting chip stocks even as most S&P 500 industry groups declined. Broad losses, semis outperform “Given the stagflationary backdrop, this meant equities took a big hit on both sides of the Atlantic. So the S&P 500 fell -0.28%, with a broad-based decline that saw 78% of the index lose ground. Once again, the move in chip stocks was against the overall market as the Philly semiconductor index (+2.23%) outperformed.” “The outperformance was bolstered by two large news stories. First, SK Hynix’s US offering was more than seven times oversubscrib
Geopolitical tensions and AI risks could prompt a long-term shift away from USD assets, impacting global capital flows and reserve strategies.
The post Deutsche Bank warns geopolitics and AI are increasing risks to the US dollar appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The faltering tech trade of 2026 signals potential shifts in investment strategies, highlighting uncertainties in AI monetization and market stability.
The post Tech trade of 2026 falters as chip stocks decline and software sales drop appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Perpetual Futures Derivatives Expand Beyond Crypto with Kalshi appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
A prediction markets startup is now pressing into some of the most heavily traded corners of global finance — and the established players are not happy about it. Kalshi, which launched the United States’ first regulated perpetual futures derivatives contracts in May after receiving CFTC approval, is now in advanced talks with regulators to bring those same never-expiring instruments to metals, foreign exchange, and energy markets. Key takeaways Kalshi launched the US’s first regulated crypto perpetual futures in May following CFTC approval, generating $16.1 billion in trading volume since launch. The company is in advanced discussions with the CFTC to expand perpetual futures to metals including gold, foreign exchange, and energy commodities. Perpetual futures allow traders to hold positions indefinitely and use leverage of up to 50 times the contract value. CME has sued the CFT
China's AI control measures could reshape global tech dynamics, limiting international collaboration and complicating compliance for foreign firms.
The post China considers tightening control over domestic AI technology appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post China Is Weaponizing Fertilizer Against American Farmers appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Dock workers load sacks of fertilizer onto a barge at the Shanghai port in June. China has recently banned exports of fertilizer to protect its domestic market. (Photo credit should read ZOU QING/AFP via Getty Images) AFP via Getty Images Americans are learning the hard way that food security is a national security issue. A war in the Middle East, a shipping chokepoint thousands of miles away or a trade policy decision in Beijing can show up in the price of bread and other staples at the local grocery store. As I wrote in a recent column, international conflicts are driving up food costs for American families. Now those market signals are being compounded for political gain. China, one of the world’s largest fertilizer producers, is actively exploiting the global fertilizer shortage to its advantage. Fertilizer prices are rising because the global supply chain is under stress and disr
The post Fed Minutes Setup: Yields vs S&P 500 Record Valuations appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Stocks are sitting near the top of the mountain. The S&P 500 pushed to fresh closing highs in early June as AI optimism juiced returns, which is great if you were long. But it also leaves a simple, slightly uncomfortable question ahead of the Fed minutes release: what if yields keep creeping up right as valuations look full? If the 10-year hangs in the mid 4s and the minutes read hawkish, multiples can get tight in a hurry. That’s the setup. This piece walks through how yields pressure valuations, what to watch in the minutes, and a clean playbook for managing risk without guessing tops.
Aspect
What to Know
Fed minutes tone
June meeting minutes showed mounting inflation worries and some argued for a hike, with several seeing slightly higher rates by end 2026 MarketScreener.
10-year Treasury yield
The benchmark drifted into the mid 4% range in early July, with
Fed minutes cited rising inflation risks and possible 2026 hikes, the 10-year sat near 4.47%, and the S&P 500 traded at 20.1x forward P/E. Why yields could bite.
The post WTI slips below $74 after rally as US‑Iran tensions support prices appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades lower on Thursday and hovers around $73.10 at the time of writing, down 1.95% on the day as investors take profits following two consecutive days of strong gains. Despite the pullback, downside pressure remains limited as heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to underpin Oil prices. Tensions between the United States (US) and Iran escalated after a new wave of US strikes targeted Iranian positions. In response, Tehran launched attacks against several US military facilities in the Gulf and threatened further retaliation. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said that the memorandum of understanding with Iran aimed at easing the conflict was no longer in effect, reviving concerns about a renewed regional escalation. Markets remain focused on developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic shipping lane thro