European Central Bank imposes haircuts on climate-risk collateral

The post Euro watches its best arguments sink in the Strait of Hormuz appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Euro spent Tuesday assembling the sort of case that should buy a currency a bid: hawkish-leaning remarks from an unlikely corner of the European Central Bank (ECB), a softening American payrolls proxy, and a Federal Reserve (Fed) regional president content to say nothing new. The market read the file, shrugged, and sold the single currency anyway, fading it from an early peak just shy of 1.1450 to a 1.1406 close, its weakest finish since last Wednesday. The Strait of Hormuz then finished the job, with late-session headlines confirming fresh Iranian strikes on commercial shipping and an American military and sanctions response that handed the Dollar a haven bid into the close. What began as quiet positioning ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes ended with the pair pinned near its low and Brent Crude Oil sharply higher. A hawkish dove, a soft payroll

The post China: Deflation channel for Euro area prices – BNP Paribas appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNP Paribas highlights how cheaper imports from China are exerting a deflationary influence on Euro area prices. With 16.9% of Euro area imports sourced from China, they estimate that a 10% fall in Chinese import prices could trim headline inflation by about 0.3 percentage points, consistent with recent European Central Bank (ECB) research, as China pursues a market-share-focused pricing strategy. Cheaper Chinese goods lower Euro inflation “Conversely, the downward trend in import prices from China has accelerated in recent months, especially in sectors where Chinese overcapacity is most pronounced, such as chemicals.” “Europe continues to import deflation from China.” “The deflationary impact of cheaper Chinese imports is not neutral for euro area inflation dynamics because the monetary union remains heavily dependent on imports (16.9% of euro area imports came from China in April

The research underscores the importance of institutional health in preventing bank failures, influencing future regulatory and transparency standards. The post New York Fed research shows financial institutions’ health is key to bank runs, not panic appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Euro: Upside bias against US Dollar as ECB repriced – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is slightly softer versus the US Dollar (USD) but supported by a sharp recovery in yield spreads and stronger German industrial production. Renewed hawkishness from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers is lifting Euro area rate expectations. They see near-term upside for EUR/USD, with technicals pointing to a drift toward 1.15 within a 1.1400–1.1500 range and limited resistance before 1.1580. Hawkish ECB supports Euro “Bearish/neutral – the recovery in the RSI is important, reflecting a clear fade in bearish momentum and a drift back toward the neutral threshold around 50. The near-term balance of risk appears to favor gains and a drift toward 1.15 and we note the absence of any material resistance ahead of 1.1580. The medium-term trend is flat, and we look to a near-term range bound between 1.1400

The post Euro: ECB cautious as euro area outlook stays fragile – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY’s Geoff Yu cites European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Fabio Panetta, who describes a fragile Euro area outlook with upside inflation risks and downside growth risks. Panetta stresses that policy should not follow a preset path, frames the latest rate hike as recalibration after oil-driven inflation, and says recurring supply shocks may force further adaptation to meet the 2% target. Panetta flags balanced risks for Euro “ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said in Rome that the euro area faces a fragile outlook, with upside risks to inflation still coexisting with downside risks to growth.” “He argued that recent peace talks between the U.S. and Iran could eventually ease energy prices but warned that monetary policy should not follow a preset path.” “Panetta said policymakers must keep a close watch on geopolitical developments, energy markets, supply ch

The post Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP tone risks downside – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak argue that reduced prospects of further tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Federal Reserve (Fed) should ease external pressure on the Zloty. However, they warn that market concerns over a potentially more dovish National Bank of Poland (NBP) are PLN-negative, and with Euro adoption distant, any softening in NBP rhetoric could pose greater downside risks compared with the Forint’s convergence support. PLN vulnerable to softer NBP tone “As the likelihood of further rate hikes from the European Central Bank has diminished and additional monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve this year appears increasingly doubtful, the external negative pressure on the zloty should diminish.” “Still, the FX market appears worried that the NBP may turn more dovish soon, which is PLN negative.” “By contrast, the National Bank of Hungary’s dovish r

The post Euro holds steady as traders assess Fed and ECB interest rate paths appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. EUR/USD trades in a narrow range on Tuesday as traders await greater clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) and European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate paths. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1436, little changed on the day. Inflation risks have moderated as Oil prices have fully unwound their US-Iran war-driven rally following last month’s interim peace agreement, which reopened shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. However, policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic continue to signal that monetary policy is likely to remain restrictive in the coming months, with inflation running above their respective 2% targets. ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said on Tuesday that the “outlook remains fragile,” adding that “upside inflation and downside growth risks remain.” ECB Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch said on Monday that “it seems that

State Street’s SSCXX fund, USDGO topping $500M, and MassPay–Coinbase payouts signal banks shifting from coin issuance to rails. Here is what it means.