Federal Reserve’s Williams emphasizes restoring inflation to 2% target, signaling prolonged pressure on risk assets

The post Fed: Hawkish minutes keep upside rate risks – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ING strategists Michiel Tukker and Benjamin Schroeder note that the Federal Reserve’s June minutes confirmed a more hawkish stance despite an unchanged policy rate. They highlight that nine officials pencilled in higher rates by year-end and that most see further policy firming as likely if inflation stays elevated due to AI-driven demand, high energy prices and tariffs, though ING’s base case expects moderation. June minutes reinforce hawkish Fed stance “This more upbeat take on the economy and the labour market was also reflected in the more hawkish stance of the Fed, which was just confirmed by the minutes of the June meeting.” “While voting unanimously to keep rates on hold, that meeting saw nine Fed officials pencilling in higher rates by the end of this year.” “Most officials agreed that “some policy firming would likely be warranted” in a scenario in which inflation remained elevated

The post Confirmed: ECB Accounts reveal growing concerns over inflation risks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The European Central Bank (ECB) released the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, revealing growing concern among policymakers over persistent inflationary risks. The discussions show a consensus within the Governing Council that the risks surrounding the inflation outlook are skewed to the upside relative to the ECB staff’s baseline projections. The accounts indicate that headline inflation is expected to rise further over the summer and remain well above the 2% target through the first half of 2027. This outlook comes despite the projections already embedding almost three 25-basis-point interest rate hikes. Policymakers also noted that the outlook could prove even more challenging if energy prices do not decline in line with futures market expectations. Under that scenario, above-target inflation would likely become considerably more persistent. Th

AI-driven inflation could necessitate higher interest rates, impacting economic growth and potentially altering investment strategies. The post Federal Reserve Bank of New York president warns AI demand could drive inflation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Fed: Divergent inflation paths shape rate outlook – Societe Generale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Societe Generale’s Jan Groen notes that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes confirmed a hawkish hold, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showing an even split between members favoring unchanged or lower rates and those preferring hikes. The Fed sees inflation as too high and the labor market as durably stable, but is divided on how long elevated inflation will persist, which drives differing policy rate views. Committee split on inflation persistence “We had a hawkish hold at the June FOMC meeting with the June update of the SEP indicating an even split between Committee members that wanted to keep rates on hold or cut vs. members who wanted to raise rates.” “Today’s release of the minutes of that meeting did not contain any major surprises and it confirmed the hawkish undertone from the post-meeting communications.” “Where there was disagreem

The Fed's focus on market behavior over fixed reserve targets may lead to more adaptive monetary policies, impacting financial stability and investor strategies. The post Federal Reserve’s John Williams says ample reserves are a vibe, not a number appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Uncertainty in the neutral rate could lead to volatile economic conditions, impacting investment strategies and financial market stability. The post Federal Reserve’s Williams sees uncertainty over long-term neutral rate, and crypto markets should pay attention appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP hits fresh three-week highs past 1.3400 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. British Pound hits fresh three-week highs past 1.3400 as US Dollar pulls back  The British Pound (GBP) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Thursday, to hit fresh three–week highs right above 1.3400. The Greenback’s pullback following the release of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) minutes and rumours about the resumption of the US-Iran negotiations are keeping the pair buoyed. The US and Iran traded attacks for the second consecutive day on Thursday, but risk aversion remains contained so far, with markets hopeful that the negotiations will continue. US President Donald Trump affirmed earlier on Thursday that Tehran “wants to make a deal so badly,” which suggests that the peace talks might resume soon. Read more… GBP/USD Price Forecast: Holds a constructive bullish tone above 1.3400 as UK political risk eases The GBP/USD pair

The post The Fed’s New Money-Laundering Rule Has A Loophole Built In appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Federal Reserve published a sweeping proposal to rewrite how it polices anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist-financing (AML/CFT) programs at the banks it supervises. Getty Images Somewhere between $800 billion and $2 trillion in dirty money moves through the global financial system every year, according to the UN Office on Drugs and Crime — and authorities manage to freeze less than 1% of it. Banks are the pipeline. The 2020 “FinCEN Files” leak, which exposed $2 trillion in transactions flagged internally as suspicious yet processed anyway, made that uncomfortably clear. So when the Federal Reserve published a sweeping proposal on July 7 to rewrite how it polices anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist-financing (AML/CFT) programs at the banks it supervises, the stakes were never in question. What’s in question is whether the rule actually raises the bar — or quietly