Iran restores internet access after 88-day blackout, impacting prediction markets

China's reduced oil imports highlight vulnerabilities in global supply chains, impacting refinery margins and potentially altering energy markets. The post China’s crude oil imports plunge to pandemic-era lows as Iran conflict chokes supply lines appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Escalating US-Iran tensions could destabilize global markets, impacting energy and crypto sectors, while increasing regulatory scrutiny on digital assets. The post US military strikes Iran after drone attacks on ships, Bitcoin dips below $80K as crypto markets rattle appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The continued sanctions on Iran could escalate tensions, impacting global oil markets and increasing scrutiny on cryptocurrency platforms. The post Trump reaffirms no easing of sanctions on Iran, no fund releases appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Trump's stance on the Strait of Hormuz heightens geopolitical tensions, impacting global energy markets and testing US-Gulf relations. The post Trump rejects Iran and Oman control over Strait of Hormuz, deal remains elusive appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Traders are skeptical of Iran timeline for Strait of Hormuz reopening appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Vessels in the Strait of Hormuz near Bandar Abbas, Iran, May 4, 2026. Amirhosein Khorgooi | ISNA | WANA | Via Reuters Iran thinks it can get the Strait of Hormuz to its prewar status within one month of a peace deal with the U.S. Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi are more skeptical.  They place just a 38% chance that traffic flows through the strait will return to normal by July 1. The contract defines normal flows as the seven-day moving average of transit through the strait crossing 60 based on data from IMF PortWatch. That level, though, is higher than the roughly 32% chance that traders gave of that happening before the new reports Wednesday. Reuters cited Iranian state television, which said it had a draft framework of a memorandum of understanding with the U.S., where the detail was learned. The White House denied the existence of any framework with Iran.

The case highlights the urgent need for robust regulatory frameworks in prediction markets, paralleling traditional finance's legal standards. The post Google engineer charged with insider trading on Polymarket for $1.2M appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The CFTC has moved a proposed rule on prediction-markets event contracts into White House review as federal and state officials fight over who should police the fast-growing sector. Bloomberg first reported that the proposal is now before the White House…

The predictions market operator reportedly explored mandatory user verification requirements, breaking from its policies of allowing traders to access its services using pseudonyms.