The post New Zealand Dollar: Firm as RBNZ signals more tightening – DBS appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Philip Wee from DBS Group Research reports NZD/USD is holding firm above 0.57 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand unanimously voted to lift the Official Cash Rate by 25 bps to 2.50%, a shift from May’s split decision. The RBNZ still sees policy as accommodative, signals likely further stimulus reduction, and projects inflation easing back toward its 2% midpoint by mid-2027. Kiwi supported by hawkish RBNZ “NZD/USD is firm above 0.57 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand countered doubts regarding its inflation-fighting resolve.” “The vote to lift the official 25 bps hike to 2.50% was unanimous, which marked a clear departure from May’s 3-3 split to hold rates.” “With the OCR level remaining accommodative, the committee signalled that ‘further reduction in monetary stimulus is likely’.” “RBNZ projected that inflation will peak at 3.9% in 2Q26, slow to 3.3% in 3Q26, before declin
The post South Korean Won: Rate hike support from exports and inflation – DBS appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji expect the Bank of Korea (BoK) to raise its base rate to 2.75% from 2.50% in July, citing persistent CPI inflation above 3% and resilient growth. They highlight robust exports and investment linked to the AI (Artificial intelligence) boom and note that Korean Won weakness and portfolio outflows further justify tighter monetary policy. Korean policy tightening backed by data “The Bank of Korea is expected to raise the base rate to 2.75% from 2.50% in July.” “The BoK signaled in June that it remains prepared to tighten monetary policy despite the recent decline in oil prices following the easing of tensions in the Middle East.” “CPI inflation has remained above 3% yoy for two consecutive months through June, and is expected to stay around this level for the remainder of the year, supported by lingering cost pass-through, elevated inflatio
The post NZD/USD Price Forecast: Recovery extends, but overhead SMAs cap upside appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
NZD/USD remains on the front foot on Friday and is heading for a second consecutive weekly gain after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) on Wednesday and signaled that further policy tightening may be needed, boosting the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.5771 after hitting an intraday high of 0.5794, its highest level since June 18. From a technical perspective, NZD/USD has been recovering after bottoming at 0.5626 in late June, its lowest level since November 2025. The latest leg higher pushed NZD/USD above the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.5717, reinforcing the bullish near-term outlook. Momentum has also improved, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbing above the neutral 50 threshold after recovering from near-oversold territory. Meanwhile,
The post China: Growth slowdown with uneven momentum – DBS appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji project China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow from 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 to 4.8% in Q2. They note resilient industrial production and strong export growth driven by AI-related electronics, but highlight weak retail sales, subdued household sentiment, and continued drag from declining property prices and falling fixed asset investment. AI exports offset weak consumption “Economic growth is expected to decelerate from 5.0% yoy in Q1 to 4.8% in Q2, amid uneven domestic momentum.” “Industrial production is expected to improve from 4.5% in April to 4.6% in June, amid resilient external demand.” “Exports growth should have maintained its momentum with growth of 20.4% in June, driven by regional AI-electronic demand.” “However, retail sales growth is projected to moderate to 0.5% in June 2026, partly due to a high base effect from last year’s tra
The post New Zealand Dollar: Constructive outlook faces yield constraints – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) outperformed after stronger manufacturing data and hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) commentary reinforced expectations for further tightening. They remain constructive on NZD but highlights that upside from yield support may be constrained near term. Markets are pricing the RBNZ as the most hawkish G10 central bank, with around 80bp of additional tightening by mid-2027. NZD strength meets yield headwinds “NZD outperformed after stronger-than-expected manufacturing data and hawkish RBNZ commentary strengthened expectations for further policy tightening. New Zealand’s manufacturing PMI rose to 59.7 in June, its highest level since July 2021.” “We remain constructive on NZD. However, the scope for NZ yields to move materially higher in the near term may be limited until the
The post New Zealand Dollar eases from three-week highs near 0.5800 as the US Dollar bounces up appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is giving away gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, trading at the 0.5775 area after hitting fresh three-week highs at 0.5794 earlier on the day. The pair, however, is on track for a 1% weekly appreciation, boosted by a hawkish hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) earlier this week. The US Dollar trims losses in a calm Friday European trading session as investors ponder rumours about diplomatic efforts by mediators to bring the US and Iran back to the negotiating table. Rival countries halted their hostilities on Friday after a series of tit-for-tat attacks earlier on the week, although the key Strait of Hormuz remains practically closed, which is keeping investors’ appetite for risk subdued. Earlier on the week, the RBNZ hiked its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.5% and hinted at further mone
The post NZD/USD Price Forecast: Gathers strength above 0.5750, but remains below key technical resistance appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The NZD/USD pair trades in positive territory around 0.5775 during the early European session on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gathers strength to its strongest level in three weeks against the US Dollar (USD) on a hawkish rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). On Wednesday, the RBNZ raised the key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.50% and signaled the potential for more hikes this year. RBNZ govorner Anna Breman said that the geopolitical environment is still highly uncertain, but the domestic economy has shown a lot of resilience in the past few months despite the fuel shock. Traders are fully pricing two additional, quarter-point rate hikes from the New Zealand central bank through December, according to Bloomberg. That’s up from pricing a 36% chance the day before RBNZ’s meeting, the data showed. Technical A
The post Indian Rupee: Inflation uptick with monsoon support – DBS appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
DBS economist Radhika Rao expects India’s June CPI inflation to edge up to 4.1% YoY from 3.9%, driven by food normalisation and fuel-cost pass-through. She sees limited upside risks to core inflation, an improving but uneven southwest monsoon, and the June trade deficit remaining elevated near USD 28.5 billion despite the recent oil-price correction. Mild CPI rise and trade deficit “June CPI inflation is expected to rise marginally to 4.1% yoy from 3.9% the month before, on continued normalisation in food segments and passthrough of fuel costs through the related segments.” “Beyond food and fuel, upside risks to core inflation appear limited, amid softer gold as well as precious metal prices and little scope for further pump price adjustments.” “Markets are also focused on the spatial and geographical spread of ongoing southwest monsoon.” “Encouragingly, the nationwide rainfall short
The post New Zealand Dollar extends three-day rally vs USD on hawkish RBNZ appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The NZD/USD pair gains strong follow-through positive traction for the third straight day and rallies to an over three-week top during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.5775-0.5780 region, up nearly 0.40% for the day, and remain on track to register strong gains for the second week in a row amid a combination of supporting factors. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) continues to be underpinned by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) hawkish outlook, which, along with a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), acts as a tailwind for the NZD/USD pair. As was widely expected, the RBNZ raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.50% following the conclusion of the June monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. The central bank also indicated that some further reduction in monetary stimulus is likely to be required to curb inflationary pr
