Polymarket files for a U.S. FCM license to offer margin trading as CFTC approval and added user checks remain required. Polymarket is seeking U.S. approval to offer margin trading, according to Bloomberg. The move could let users trade prediction markets without posting full capital upfront. The application was filed on July 3 through Coming Home […]
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The post Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Joerg Hiller
Jul 10, 2026 10:11
A report says U.S. and Iranian forces traded attacks for a second day after Trump said the ceasefire was “over,” with U.S. strikes on about 90 coastal targets and Iran hitting sites linked to U.S.
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion Yes to 16.5% after renewed attacks Polymarket Reprices “U.S. Invade Iran Before 2027?” After Renewed Attack Headlines On Polymarket, traders put the chance of a “Yes” on “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” at 16.5% (No at 83.5%) on $40.25M matched volume, up 5.0 percentage points from 11.5%. The repricing follows reports of renewed U.S.-Iran attacks, and the move shows how the contract reacts to escalation headlines while still pricing “invasion” as the clear minority outcome. Key Takeaways Polymarket’s leading outcome is No at 83.5%, with Yes at 16.5% for a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027.
Polymarket is seeking U.S. approval to offer margin trading, marking its latest move to expand under a regulated derivatives framework.
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The post Polymarket Files for Margin Trading License as US Expansion Accelerates appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Polymarket files for a U.S. FCM license to offer margin trading as CFTC approval and added user checks remain required. Polymarket is seeking U.S. approval to offer margin trading, according to Bloomberg. The move could let users trade prediction markets without posting full capital upfront. The application was filed on July 3 through Coming Home GBA LLC. The affiliate applied for a futures commission merchant license with the National Futures Association. Polymarket also needs approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That approval would allow changes to its rulebook for non-fully funded trading. The filing shows how prediction markets are moving closer to regulated financial markets. It also marks another step in Polymarket’s U.S. expansion plans. Polymarket Seeks U.S. Margin Trading Approval Polymarket operates prediction markets tied to real-world even
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Major Wall Street banks are tightening employee rules for prediction markets as concerns grow over the use of confidential information on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi. Summary Wall Street banks are restricting employee prediction-market trades as concerns about confidential information use increase. Goldman Sachs bars contracts tied to finance, politics, macroeconomics, geopolitics, and bank-specific events for staff. Federal cases and congressional probes are pushing platforms and employers toward tighter surveillance and compliance. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America have added or updated restrictions covering event contracts, according to a Reuters report. The policies aim to reduce insider trading and conflict-of-interest risks. Goldman Sachs limits financial and political trades Goldman Sachs has prohibited employees from trading pr
Bloomberg momentum losses hit back-to-back 3% weeks in July while AI capex debt nears 15% of IG issuance. Summer risk may tilt toward cash-flow leaders.
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The post North Carolina Backs CFTC Oversight of Prediction Markets appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News North Carolina has passed a law recognizing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as the primary regulator of prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, making it one of the few states to support federal oversight instead of treating them as gambling operators. Signed on July 7, the law imposes a 6% tax on … Source: https://coinpedia.org/crypto-live-news/north-carolina-backs-cftc-oversight-of-prediction-markets/
Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, are restricting employee prediction market trades as insider trading fears spread across Polymarket and Kalshi.