Polymarket Pursues NFA Registration to Launch US Margin Trading Services

The post Digital Asset Market Clarity Act Faces Uphill Battle Despite New Draft Coming Next Week appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. TLDR An updated version of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act may arrive next week Democratic backing remains absent, primarily due to disagreements over ethics standards for officials involved in crypto Three contentious matters persist: safeguards for developers, exemptions from money laundering laws, and stablecoin incentive programs CFTC leadership cautions that regulatory agencies might draft crypto policies independently if lawmakers don’t act Congress faces a compressed timeline — just several weeks between mid-July and early August — to approve the legislation Legislators could unveil a revised edition of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act within days, sources close to the discussions revealed. This proposed legislation seeks to establish a complete regulatory structure governing digital currencies across the nation. LATEST: A new CLARITY Act

The post Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 10, 2026 08:14 A New York Fed post warned U.S. firms plan more tariff-linked price hikes over the next six months, with increases arriving in a staggered “trickle up” pattern as tariffs shift. Polymarket odds jump to 86% for Fed hold in July after tariff inflation talk Polymarket Jumps to 85.5% “No Change” After Tariff-Linked Inflation Signal Reframes July Fed Odds Polymarket traders are pricing an 85.5% chance that the Fed makes no change at its July 2026 meeting, a +14.0pp jump from 71.5% as the market digested a fresh inflation-through-tariffs narrative. The ladder contract’s per-outcome odds and $48.58M in volume show where disagreement concentrates: “no change” versus a 25 bps hike. Key Takeaways Prediction: Polymarket’s leading outcome is “No change” at 85.5% implied odds. Basis: After a tariff-linked pricing and inflation d

The post Polymarket prices BTC above $60K at 99% for July 11 as $64K stays 50-50 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 10, 2026 08:09 A live-markets roundup said bitcoin traded just above $63,000, up about 1.6% in 24 hours, as bitcoin ETFs returned to outflows and ether funds kept seeing inflows. Polymarket prices BTC above $60K at 99% for July 11 as $64K stays 50-50 Polymarket’s BTC July 11 Ladder Holds Steady After ETF Outflow Headlines, Keeping the Cutoff Near $64K Polymarket’s Bitcoin price ladder for July 11 is pricing a high likelihood that BTC clears lower strikes, with $339,540 matched and the $52,000 line sitting at 99.95% Yes. The cue for attention is a market-news update pointing to mixed crypto fund flows and bitcoin holding near $63,000, but the ladder shows where traders draw the real cutoff. Key Takeaways Polymarket implies BTC is above $60,000 on July 11 at 99.35% Yes (0.65% No), while $64,000 is essentially a coin flip at 49.5% Yes (50

The post Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loom appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 10, 2026 08:03 With World Cup quarter-finals now framed as tense, high-stakes tests like Spain vs Belgium and France vs Morocco, attention is turning to who can shine on the biggest stage. Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loom Polymarket Holds Golden Ball Odds Flat as World Cup Quarter-Final Catalysts Fail to Create a Favorite Polymarket’s “World Cup: Golden Ball Winner” market is printing a dead-even leaderboard, with the current leading outcome (Player A) at 50% on about $3,979,003 in volume. The quarter-final news cycle is the obvious catalyst to watch, but the market’s pricing is still signaling maximum uncertainty rather than a breakout favorite. Key Takeaways Prediction: Player A is the leading outcome at 50% implied odds (with other listed players also at 50%). Basis: Despite quarter-final

The post Polymarket Seeks to Offer Margin Trading to US Users appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket has applied for a US license to offer margin trading. The prediction market is seeking a futures commission merchant license. If approved, the license would enable users to open positions by posting only a portion of the required capital. What Polymarket Filed and Why It Matters According to Bloomberg, Polymarket filed through its affiliate, Coming Home GBA LLC, to register as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM). The application was submitted on July 3, as per the National Futures Association. Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens Margin trading lets traders borrow to increase their position size without paying the full amount upfront. Institutional traders use it to improve capital efficiency, but it requires a broker that can hold funds and manage margin.  An FCM license would give Polymarket that role. As a Futures Commission Merchant, it would handle customer

The post North Carolina law clears path for CFTC regulated prediction markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. North Carolina has become the first U.S. state to explicitly recognize the CFTC’s authority over prediction markets while setting a 6% state tax on their trading fee revenue. Summary North Carolina has recognized the CFTC’s authority over prediction markets while approving a 6% tax on platform trading fee revenue. The new law allows federally registered prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket to operate legally in the state from 2027. The measure comes as Kalshi continues legal battles with several states after a federal judge declined to block New York from enforcing its gambling laws. Under Senate Bill 257, signed by Governor Josh Stein on July 7 as part of North Carolina’s 2026 budget, platforms registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, including Polymarket and Kalshi, can operate lawfully in the state.  The legislation also states that the Comm

North Carolina has become the first U.S. state to explicitly recognize the CFTC’s authority over prediction markets while setting a 6% state tax on their trading fee revenue. Under Senate Bill 257, signed by Governor Josh Stein on July 7…

The post Polymarket odds peg BTC above $52K at 99.95% as July 12 ladder tightens appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Rongchai Wang Jul 10, 2026 06:03 Bitcoin held above $62,000 as U.S.-Iran tensions flared again, while oil rose a third day and gold fell a fourth, leaving crypto relatively muted. Polymarket odds peg BTC above $52K at 99.95% as July 12 ladder tightens Polymarket’s BTC July 12 Ladder Holds Steady After U.S.-Iran Tension Headlines Polymarket’s Bitcoin ladder for July 12 is pricing a high-confidence floor, with “BTC above $52,000” at 99.95% on $280,453 in volume. The tight range of per-strike odds follows a macro-news beat about muted crypto reaction to renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, giving a clean read on where traders place the key cutoff levels by expiry. Key Takeaways Polymarket’s leading line is BTC above $52,000 on July 12 at 99.95% implied odds. After a headline framing bitcoin as steady amid renewed U.S.-Iran tensions, the ladder concentrates probabi