The post RBNZ hikes to 2.50% as Polymarket puts 2026 Fed hike at 49.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Ted Hisokawa
Jul 08, 2026 02:45
On July 8, 2026, New Zealand’s central bank lifted its policy rate 25 basis points to 2.50%, reinforcing that tightening cycles aren’t universally over.
RBNZ hikes to 2.50% as Polymarket puts 2026 Fed hike at 49.5% RBNZ Raises Rates to 2.50%: Polymarket Keeps “Fed Rate Hike in 2026” Near a Coin Flip at 49.5% Yes New Zealand’s central bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.50%, a move that kept global rate-setter watchers focused on the persistence of tightening cycles. On Polymarket, odds on the Federal Reserve delivering a rate hike at some point in 2026 were priced at 49.5% at the latest update, with the market marginally favoring “No” at 50.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 49.5% chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026, with “No” leading at 50.5%. Traders kept the contract near a coin flip as attention st
The post Polymarket enables Bitcoin Lightning deposits powered by Spark appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Polymarket has enabled instant self-custodial Bitcoin deposits through the Lightning Network, using payment infrastructure from Spark. Summary Spark gives Polymarket faster Bitcoin funding while keeping deposits tied to users’ own wallet keys. Lightning deposits reduce confirmation delays that can matter when traders enter fast-moving live prediction markets. The upgrade arrives as Polymarket handles larger volumes while facing closer checks from global regulators. The update gives users a faster way to move BTC into the prediction market platform. Spark said users can now deposit Bitcoin into Polymarket with more speed and more privacy than the older on-chain method. The company said deposits that once required on-chain confirmation wait times can now settle in seconds. The feature follows Polymarket’s earlier move to support standard on-chain Bitcoin deposits in October 2025.
Rising US-Iran tensions and Fed policy uncertainties may drive inflation concerns, impacting gold's safe-haven appeal and market dynamics.
The post Gold wavers as US-Iran tensions rise, Fed minutes awaited appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post New Zealand Dollar advances as RBNZ hike weighs on AUD/NZD appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
AUD/NZD declines after three days of gains, trading around 1.2170 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency cross falls nearly 0.25% as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gains ground following the release of the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). The RBNZ raised its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.50% at its June policy meeting, matching widespread market expectations. According to the central bank’s Monetary Policy Review, further reductions in monetary stimulus will likely be necessary to steer inflation back to its 2% target midpoint as economic activity strengthens. The RBNZ noted that future OCR adjustments will remain strictly data-dependent, guided by incoming economic indicators, price-setting behavior, and medium-term inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter highligh
The post GOP plans $8M ad blitz as Polymarket keeps Newsom at 18.2% for 2028 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Jessie A Ellis
Jul 08, 2026 02:52
Republican strategists are lining up an $8 million advertising push aimed at a Platner replacement, signaling an early bid to shape the next cycle’s narrative.
GOP plans $8M ad blitz as Polymarket keeps Newsom at 18.2% for 2028 Republicans’ $8M Ad Blitz Fuels 2028 Nominee Speculation as Gavin Newsom Holds a Slim Polymarket Lead at 18.2% Republicans are preparing an $8 million advertising blitz targeting a Platner replacement, a move that underscores how aggressively the party is gearing up for the next cycle. On Polymarket, traders in the “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” market kept Gavin Newsom narrowly on top at 18.2% implied odds. Key Takeaways Gavin Newsom leads the Polymarket “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” market at 18.2% implied odds. The odds have been repriced as attention shifts to early-cycle politi
The post New Zealand Dollar retakes 0.5700 vs USD after RBNZ rate hike appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The NZD/USD pair attracts some buyers in reaction to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) anticipated interest rate hike and reclaims the 0.5700 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices, for now, seem to have snapped a two-day losing streak, though the upside potential seems limited amid geopolitical uncertainties. As was widely expected, the RBNZ decided to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.50% following the conclusion of the June monetary policy meeting. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) bulls, however, seem hesitant and opt to wait for further insight if this is a one-off move rather than the start of further tightening. Hence, the focus will be on the post-meeting press conference, where comments from RBNZ Governor Dr. Anna Breman will influence the NZD and provide a fresh impetus to the NZD/USD pair. In the meantime, renewed US-Ir
The post US strikes on Iran lift Polymarket invasion odds to 14.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Ted Hisokawa
Jul 08, 2026 02:38
CENTCOM said the U.S. military launched “powerful strikes” against Iran to impose “heavy costs,” escalating pressure on Tehran.
US strikes on Iran lift Polymarket invasion odds to 14.5% U.S. Launches “Powerful Strikes” Against Iran, Pushing Polymarket “Invade Iran Before 2027?” Odds to 14.5% The U.S. military said it launched “powerful strikes” against Iran, a development that pushed traders to reprice Polymarket’s “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” contract higher. The market’s implied probability for “Yes” rose to 14.5% from 11.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 14.5% chance the U.S. invades Iran before 2027, with “No” leading at 85.5%. Odds moved up 3.0 percentage points after the U.S. military said it launched “powerful strikes” against Iran. The contract resolves on 2026-12-31, and the “Yes” price is down 2.0 points over
The post Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Jessie A Ellis
Jul 08, 2026 02:31
Oil climbed about 5% after the United States revoked an Iran oil sanctions waiver, tightening expectations for Iranian crude flows and adding supply uncertainty.
Iran waiver revoked lifts oil, Polymarket keeps Starmer exit odds at 97.2% Oil Surges 5% After U.S. Revokes Iran Sanctions Waiver as Polymarket Nudges Starmer Exit Odds Higher Oil prices jumped about 5% after the United States revoked an Iran oil sanctions waiver, a headline that rippled across global markets. On Polymarket, traders nudged up the leading pick in the “Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)” contract, with Keir Starmer priced as the most likely next leader to exit before 2027. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices “Starmer – UK PM” as the leading outcome at 97.2% (No 2.8%) in “Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)”. The market’
