Singapore Dollar: Upside risks building as USD stays firm – DBS

Kalshi's accurate rate forecasts could signal significant shifts in crypto market dynamics, urging investors to reassess risk strategies. The post Kalshi traders see 57% odds of Fed rate hike in 2026, and crypto markets should pay attention appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Taiwan Dollar: Policy-driven flows temper losses against US Dollar – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. OCBC’s Christopher Wong reports that recent Taiwan Dollar (TWD) weakness is moderating, partly due to Central Bank of the Republic of China (CBC) guidance that banks execute large USD sell orders immediately, bringing forward natural supply. However, foreign equity selling and dividend-related USD demand still restrain recovery, with USD/TWD two-way moves likely. Upside momentum pauses as USD supply emerges “Recent weakness in TWD shows tentative signs of moderation. Part of the moderation may reflect the earlier CBC guidance for banks to execute large USD sell orders on the day received, rather than delaying or staggering them.” “This could have helped bring forward natural USD supply and temper the pace of TWD weakness.” “Still, the broader flow backdrop has not turned decisively positive, with foreign equity selling (week-to-date USD4.3bn) and dividend/remittance-r

The post Euro: Support from ECB repricing and yields – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret notes the Euro (EUR) is slightly higher versus the US Dollar (USD), supported by a repricing of the European Central Bank (ECB) outlook toward renewed hawkishness and recovering yield spreads. They highlight markets now price about 35 bps of tightening by December, lifting fair value estimates for EUR/USD toward the mid to upper 1.14s despite only modest recent gains. Euro aided by hawkish ECB repricing “The EUR is entering Thursday’s NA session with a fractional 0.1% gain vs. the USD as it performs in line with most of the G10 currencies in quiet overall trade.” “The outlook for relative central bank policy is offering the EUR support as market participants reprice the ECB outlook in light of renewed hawkishness and a resurgence in geopolitically-driven oil price gains.” “Markets are currently pricing in about 35bpts of tightening

The post SWIFT Bridges TradFi and Distributed Ledger Technology With 17 Banks SWIFT Bridges TradFi and Distributed Ledger Technology With 17 Banks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. SWIFT has introduced its own blockchain-based shared ledger after nine months of development. The pilot project is moving into operational use with 17 major banks set to pioneer tokenised cross-border payments. The banks are ANZ, BNP Paribas, BNY, Citi, DBS, First Abu Dhabi Bank, FirstRand Bank, HSBC, Itaú Unibanco, Lloyds Bank, Mashreq, MUFG Bank, OCBC, Standard Chartered, UBS, UOB, and Wells Fargo. It combines distributed ledger technology and the existing secure messaging network used by SWIFT, which covers more than 200 markets. The goals of this project are simple: improved liquidity transparency of cash flows ability to seamlessly enable token recognition This is NOT an alternative to SWIFT. It’s an extension of it. Carl Slabicki, head of commercial, global payments & trade at BNY, said: “We are ple

The post US Dollar: Tariff passthrough keeps inflation pressure alive – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that the New York Fed’s latest Liberty Street Economics analysis warns many United States (US) firms still plan tariff-related price increases, implying persistent inflation pressures that matter for the US Dollar (USD) and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy. Nearly half of tariff-paying companies expect further hikes, with gradual pricing and fixed contracts extending adjustment and complicating disinflation. Tariffs extend U.S. inflation timeline “The New York Fed said in its July 8 Liberty Street Economics post that more tariff passthrough still lies ahead for many U.S. firms. Drawing on regional business surveys, the institution reported that nearly half of firms that pay tariffs directly are still planning further price increases, with some expecting to raise prices six months or more from now.” “It said roughly 47% of service firms and 44% of manufactu

The post Fed’s Williams: Inflation is still ‘far too high’ appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said in the Future of Market Liquidity and Functioning Workshop in New York on Thursday that inflation remains “far too high,” while stressing that policymakers are actively debating different inflation scenarios as energy prices, artificial intelligence investment and productivity trends shape the outlook. Key takeaways: Inflation is still “far too high,” keeping the Federal Reserve focused on the risks to price stability. Markets still expect Oil prices to decline over the next six to 12 months. Monetary policy remains focused on how energy prices feed through into inflation. AI investment is currently driving inflation, adding to demand and cost pressure. The Fed is actively debating various inflation scenarios as uncertainty remains elevated. Williams said the latest Fed Minutes captured a “collective reaction function,” refl

The post India: Tactical duration opportunity on rates – DBS appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. DBS Group Research economist Sherilyn Chew notes that renewed geopolitical risk has lifted yields across Asia, but sees Indian G-Secs as offering a tactical opportunity. She argues the India sell-off is mainly macro repricing, with domestic fundamentals and structural demand intact. Foreign participation remains supportive, and DBS views the 10-year sector as attractive for adding duration once risk sentiment stabilises. Indian G-Secs repricing seen as transient “Renewed geopolitical risk has pushed yields higher across the region, but we would differentiate between markets where the repricing presents a more compelling entry and those where it reinforces existing concerns.” “For India, the sell-off looks largely driven by a broad-based macro repricing rather than any deterioration in domestic fundamentals.” “With supportive structural demand and ongoing foreign participation still support

The post AI markets bounced despite war risk – Can it hold? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Markets had two problems to digest: the FOMC minutes and a fresh wave of war headlines. The first event may already have been priced in, as it is merely a summary of the previous Fed meeting – traders already knew the Fed was not rushing back into rate cuts. The bigger pressure came from renewed geopolitical risk, which pushed oil and yields back into focus and hit risk sentiment early in the session. Yet the AI markets have been recovering. That suggests that risks were largely priced in. Nasdaq/US two-year yield ratio is range-bound The cleaner chart is USTEC/US02Y on the 4H timeframe. It shows whether Nasdaq strength is improving relative to front-end yield pressure. The ratio bounced from the lower end of its recent range, but it is now reacting near the 100 EMA band. That makes the next move important. A push back above the range midline near 7,200 would suggest the AI bounce is gainin