It’s Not Just U.S. Stocks. A.I. and Oil Are Moving Global Markets, Too.
Intel, along with Taiwan and South Korea, are the latest winners, our columnist says. True diversification is hard to find.
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The post South Korean Won: Fading strength as volatility stays high – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. OCBC’s Christopher Wong reports South Korean Won (KRW) led declines in Asia FX, pressured by higher Oil, firmer UST yields, softer risk tone and heavy foreign equity outflows. He expects USD/KRW to stay choppy and vulnerable if Oil remains elevated and risk sentiment fragile, but advises against chasing the pair higher. Wong prefers fading rallies, citing Korea’s AI/export leverage and resilient semiconductor cycle as medium-term supports. KRW pressured but rallies seen to fade “KRW came under renewed pressure overnight and led declines in Asian FX.” “Near term, USDKRW can remain choppy and vulnerable to wider swings, especially if oil prices stay elevated and global risk sentiment remains fragile.” “we would avoid chasing USD/KRW higher from here and would look to fade rallies selectively for better risk-reward, as Korea’s AI/export leverage and still-resilient semiconductor
Read full articleIntel, along with Taiwan and South Korea, are the latest winners, our columnist says. True diversification is hard to find.
The post Japan wholesale inflation jumps to 4.9% as import costs surge appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. According to a Bank of Japan (BOJ) report issued Friday May 15, Japan’s wholesale prices jumped 4.9% year-on-year in April. This number exceeds the 3.0% gain economists had forecast and nearly doubled March’s revised 2.9%, as the Iran conflict drove a sharp rise in oil and petrochemical import costs, Reuters reported. The corporate goods price index (CGPI), which tracks what companies charge each other for goods, caught markets off guard. But beyond the headlines, yen-denominated import prices were even more revealing. Import prices rose 17.5% in April from a year earlier, nearly double its pace in March at 8.0%. The cause: The war in Iran and the closed Strait of Hormuz. The resulting effect has seen crude prices spike, the dollar trading higher against the yen, driving up costs for Japan’s fuel-dependent economy. Japanese manufacturers and retailers are passing cost increases t
The post Bessent sees ‘substantial disinflation’ ahead as Warsh takes over the Fed appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Even with recent inflation news universally bad, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects price pressures to ease soon, just in time for the new Federal Reserve chair to take over. Speaking Thursday to CNBC, Bessent said the energy-fed inflation surge recently is likely to reverse as the U.S. is “going to keep pumping” oil, easing the supply shock from the Iran war. “I firmly believe that nothing is more transient than a supply shock, and we can, we can look through that, because before the Iranian conflict began, core inflation was coming down,” Bessent told CNBC’s Joe Kernen from the sidelines of President Donald Trump’s summit with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. “So I think core inflation will continue coming down.” That hasn’t been the recent trend, however. Separate readings this week showed that consumer prices jumped 0.6% in April — and still rose 0.4% ev
The post Silver: Rally stretched near term – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. OCBC strategist Christopher Wong describes Silver’s recent surge toward USD87–88/oz as driven mainly by technical momentum. He notes industrial metals are also better bid and that softer US–China rhetoric could support Silver further. However, overbought RSI and “buy the rumour, sell the fact” risks argue for near-term caution with resistance seen around 90–92.60. Overbought signals and profit risk “Silver rally looks stretched near term.” “Silver extended it run higher (+13% on 5d% change), with spot holding around the $87–88/oz area after breaking above the recent $83–84 resistance zone. The move looks less rates driven as yields were firmer.” “The move higher looks more driven by a mix of technical breakout momentum and possibly, pre-positioning ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, especially as other industrial metals were also better bid. “ “A softer tone on US-China rhetoric on tariffs, supply chains
The post Singapore Dollar: Consolidation with preference to sell rallies – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes USD/SGD has risen with broader USD/AXJ but the move has been milder, reflecting Singapore Dollar’s (SGD) lower beta. Wong observes fading bearish momentum and moderated RSI, suggesting two-way trade. Wong highlights nearby resistance around 1.2720–1.28 and support near 1.2650, maintaining a preference to sell rallies while acknowledging SGD’s sensitivity to external yields, Oil and sentiment. Lower beta SGD in two-way consolidation “USD/SGD rose, tracking broader USDAXJs higher.” “Move reflects SGD’s lower beta characteristics but at the same time, SGD is not immune to external developments, including yields, oil and sentiments.” “Mild bearish momentum on daily chart is fading but rise in RSI moderated.” “2-way trades still likely. Resistance at 1.2720/40 levels (21, DMA, 61.8% fibo retracement of 2026 low to high), 1.2770” “Support at 1.265
The post South Korean Won Under Pressure As Volatility Persists, Says OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. South Korean Won Under Pressure As Volatility Persists, Says OCBC Skip to content Home Forex News South Korean Won under pressure as volatility persists, says OCBC Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/south-korean-won-volatility-ocbc/
The post Dollar Hits One-Week High on Inflation, Iran Tensions, Trump-Xi Talks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. US inflation hit 3.8% in April, above forecasts, wiping out all Fed rate cut hopes for 2026. Markets now price a 35% chance of a Fed rate hike in December rather than a cut. Iran ceasefire declared on life support by Trump as oil climbs once again. Three big things are hitting global markets at the same time right now. US inflation came in higher than expected, the Iran ceasefire is falling apart, and markets are bracing for a critical meeting between President Trump and China’s Xi Jinping in Beijing. The result is that the US dollar is getting stronger, Treasury yields are rising, and the chances of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year have essentially dropped to zero. The euro dropped to $1.1735. The British pound slipped to $1.3532. The dollar index, which measures the dollar against a basket of major currencies, held near 98.335, its strongest level in
The post Copper: Prices hold near records despite Iran risks – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes Copper prices are trading close to January’s intraday record despite renewed Iran–US tensions and higher Oil prices. Markets currently anticipate limited economic fallout as long as a Hormuz reopening deal is reached, but prolonged disruption could hurt growth. Additional support comes from slower Chinese Copper ore imports and potential supply constraints linked to sulfuric acid shortages. Tight ore supply and risk balance “However, the recovery seen in recent weeks across a wide range of financial markets (such as the stock market) has shown that the market currently fears only limited economic repercussions from the ongoing crisis in the Middle East.” “This is the case only if US and Iran leaders reach an agreement in the foreseeable future that allows for the opening of the Strait of Hormuz. The longer the blockade lasts, however, the mo