Tariff-driven inflation pressures may challenge the Federal Reserve's control efforts, potentially leading to shifts in monetary policy.
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Societe Generale strategist Kunal Kundu expects India’s June 2026 headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to print around 4.1% year-on-year, slightly above May’s 3.9% but still within the RBI’s tolerance band. Kundu highlights food, fuel and services as key drivers, while noting partial and delayed pass-through from wholesale prices. It argues that competitive conditions, policy buffers and moderate demand should prevent a sustained inflation acceleration. Food, fuel and core inflation dynamics “India’s June 2026 headline CPI inflation is likely to print at around 4.1% yoy, marking a modest acceleration from 3.9% in May while remaining comfortably within the RBI’s inflation tolerance band. The expected increase is less a reflection of broad-based inflationary pressures and more a consequence of a gradual firming in food, fuel and select services categories over recent
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The Dow Jones (US30) has extended its rally to record highs, but the next phase of the move could prove more volatile as investors reassess the outlook for US monetary policy and corporate earnings. Softer-than-expected Jun employment data reinforced expectations that the Fed is less likely to tighten policy in the near term, supporting equities while also raising questions about the pace of economic growth. Shifting interest-rate expectations remain one of the market’s main drivers. Cooling payroll growth and downward revisions to previous months’ employment figures have encouraged investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening. While a more accommodative policy outlook has supported equity valuations, markets are increasingly balancing that optimism against signs that the US economy may be entering a slower phase of growth. Attention is also turning to t
Rising inflation risks could lead central banks to tighten policies, potentially slowing global economic growth and impacting markets.
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Rising inflation and geopolitical tensions could destabilize global economies, impacting emerging markets and driving shifts in investment strategies.
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Warsh's shift to "strategic ambiguity" at the Fed could increase market volatility, impacting risk assets and requiring investors to rely more on economic data.
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The post With minutes due, Fed’s ‘family fight’ over interest rates could drag on appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Kevin Warsh, incoming chairman of the US Federal Reserve, during a swearing-in ceremony in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, May 22, 2026. Yuri Gripas | Bloomberg | Getty Images Divided Federal Reserve officials indicated at their last meeting that they will address persistent inflation this year with one interest rate hike. History, though, suggests that policymakers will have a hard time stopping there. In fact, there have been few instances over the past 35 years or so when the Fed has only made one rate move, be it up or down. Rather, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee tends to move in rate cycles, where it adjusts policy multiple times over a period to meet whatever goal it seeks to accomplish. “A lot of people are talking about one rate increase. The committee does not generally do that. I mean, what’s the point of t
The June import surge may lead to a Q3 slowdown, impacting logistics stocks as companies adjust to new cost structures and demand stabilizes.
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