The post US Dollar Index: Conflict-driven support and rate backdrop – BBH appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that renewed Middle East tensions are pressuring stocks and bonds while supporting the US Dollar (USD) and Oil. Haddad sees the Dollar Index (DXY) edging higher, with US-G6 two-year yield spreads consistent with DXY slightly above 102.00 and US economic outperformance keeping rate differentials supportive for the Dollar ahead of the FOMC minutes. DXY supported by yields and risk “Re-escalation of the Middle East conflict is weighing on stocks and bonds. Crude oil prices surged and USD inched higher. “ “The US completed yesterday a new round of offensive strikes against Iran and revoked a waiver that allowed the sale of Iranian oil in response to Iran’s attacks on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.” “In our view, the dollar index (DXY) can edge higher. US-G6 two-year bond yields are consistent with DXY trading
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The post Japanese Yen falls as renewed US-Iran tensions boost the US Dollar, Oil prices appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
USD/JPY edges higher on Wednesday as renewed escalation in the Middle East boosts demand for the US Dollar (USD) and lifts Oil prices, weighing on the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 162.50, close to 40-year highs. The United States and Iran exchanged fire overnight following attacks on commercial ships near the Strait of Hormuz earlier this week. On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump declared that the ceasefire deal with Iran was “over” and said dealing with Tehran was “a waste of time” while speaking at the NATO Summit in Ankara, Turkey. The latest escalation has dampened hopes for a near-term peace deal, reigniting concerns over potential disruption to global Oil flows through the critical waterway, where shipping had been gradually improving since last month’s interim peace agreement. The rebound in Oil prices has revi
The assassination heightens Middle East tensions, risks further conflict in Iraq, and signals potential shifts in Iran's leadership dynamics.
The post Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei assassinated in US-Israeli airstrike appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The escalation in US-Iran tensions could destabilize global markets, strain international alliances, and impact energy security worldwide.
The post US strikes Iran as Trump declares ceasefire over, oil surges 5% and markets reel appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ hawkish path supports currency – BBH appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a 25 bps hike to 2.50%, largely priced in, triggering an New Zealand Dollar (NZD) rally before gains were trimmed by Middle East tensions. Haddad highlights that the RBNZ sees further Official Cash Rate (OCR) increases as likely, has room to normalize towards a neutral 2.2–4.1% range, and markets price nearly 100 bps of tightening over the next year. Hawkish RBNZ and neutral OCR range “The RBNZ raised the Official Cash rate (OCR) by 25bps to 2.50%, the first hike in three years, and indicated that “further OCR increases appear likely at upcoming meetings.” The RBNZ did not disclose the Committee’s vote split but indicated that the decision to increase the OCR was reached by consensus.” “The RBNZ estimated neutral range is between 2.2% and 4.1%. The swaps curve implies nearly
The post Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP slumps against US Dollar as risky assets turn fragile appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
British Pound slumps against US Dollar as risky assets turn fragile The British Pound (GBP) is down 0.13% to near 1.3340 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Wednesday. The GBP/USD pair faces selling pressure as renewed geopolitical risks have diminished the appeal of riskier assets. At press time, S&P 500 futures are down almost 1% to near 7,430, demonstrating a risk-off market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally higher to near 101.15 after recovering early losses. Read more… Pound awaits tighter policy from Bank of England GBP/USD declined to 1.3352 on Wednesday amid a general deterioration in the external environment and a decline in risk appetite. The escalation of tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s attacks on facilities in
Tokenized Real World Assets span treasuries, real estate, stocks, commodities and private credit. The sector is still small in TradFi terms but it's growing very, very fast.
The post US Dollar: Warsh risks skewed to cuts – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that interest rate differentials are again driving the Dollar, with USD reacting strongly to weaker US data as markets reassess new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. She suggests limited scope for further hikes but growing risk of earlier rate cuts, leaving USD more vulnerable to negative data than supported by positive surprises. Fed uncertainty weighs on Dollar outlook “Nevertheless, in my view, the risks are asymmetrically distributed. Despite the hawkish surprise at the start of his tenure, the risk is likely growing that, in the face of weak data and falling inflation, Warsh will want to cut interest rates faster and more aggressively. Even if the USD is likely to hold up well for now, it will probably suffer more from weak data than it will appreciate from positive data.” “This is because there is hardly any room for expectations of further rate hikes amid fa