The post US Dollar Index: Fed hawks supported by energy spike – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
ING’s Chris Turner notes that higher Oil prices and Gulf tensions have driven a bigger reaction in rates than in FX, with Brent near $80 supporting Fed hawks. The US Dollar (USD) is expected to stay firm versus low-yielders, while carry trades in Emerging Markets (EM) have been unwound. Turner sees US Dollar Index (DXY) around 101.00 with scope back toward 101.50. Fed scenarios and DXY support “Dominating global markets yesterday was the seeming breakdown in negotiations between the US and Iran and a more serious exchange of fire. That has extended overnight, with the US military striking infrastructure targets in northern Iraq – the first strike on infrastructure since early April. Brent briefly touched $80/bl and we saw some large moves at the short end of interest curves.” “In addition, last night saw the release of the FOMC minutes for the June meeting. Some had feared that Fed
Geopolitical tensions and AI risks could prompt a long-term shift away from USD assets, impacting global capital flows and reserve strategies.
The post Deutsche Bank warns geopolitics and AI are increasing risks to the US dollar appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Escalating US-Iran tensions risk broader Middle East conflict, impacting global markets and complicating monetary policy amid rising oil prices.
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The post British Pound hits fresh three-week highs past 1.3400 as US Dollar pulls back appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The British Pound (GBP) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) for the second consecutive day on Thursday, to hit fresh three–week highs right above 1.3400. The Greenback’s pullback following the release of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) minutes and rumours about the resumption of the US-Iran negotiations are keeping the pair buoyed. The US and Iran traded attacks for the second consecutive day on Thursday, but risk aversion remains contained so far, with markets hopeful that the negotiations will continue. US President Donald Trump affirmed earlier on Thursday that Tehran “wants to make a deal so badly,” which suggests that the peace talks might resume soon. Beyond that, the US Dollar remains on its back foot since the release of the minutes of June’s Fed meeting. The committee maintained its will to fight inflation, but showed a divergence on the monetary policy
The post Fed Minutes Setup: Yields vs S&P 500 Record Valuations appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Stocks are sitting near the top of the mountain. The S&P 500 pushed to fresh closing highs in early June as AI optimism juiced returns, which is great if you were long. But it also leaves a simple, slightly uncomfortable question ahead of the Fed minutes release: what if yields keep creeping up right as valuations look full? If the 10-year hangs in the mid 4s and the minutes read hawkish, multiples can get tight in a hurry. That’s the setup. This piece walks through how yields pressure valuations, what to watch in the minutes, and a clean playbook for managing risk without guessing tops.
Aspect
What to Know
Fed minutes tone
June meeting minutes showed mounting inflation worries and some argued for a hike, with several seeing slightly higher rates by end 2026 MarketScreener.
10-year Treasury yield
The benchmark drifted into the mid 4% range in early July, with
The post Gold Price Forecast: Recoveries likely be capped as 20-day EMA slopes lower appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 0.8% higher to near $4,110 during the European trading session on Thursday. The precious metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) is down despite a slight improvement in expectations that the next monetary policy move by the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be on the upside. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.1% lower to near 100.95 even after recovering over half of its early losses. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds of the Fed raising interest rates at least once this year have increased to 83.4% from almost 78% recorded a week back. Hawkish Fed prospects have increased as oil prices have bounced back strongly due to renewed Middle East tensions. Technically, higher interest rates by the Fed bode poorly for non-yielding assets, such as Gold. Investors worry
The post Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD picks up above $59.00 as US Dollar softens appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Silver (XAG/USD) is trimming losses on Thursday, and hitting session highs just above $59.00 after bouncing from $57.22 lows on Wednesday. US Dollar’s pullback has given some oxygen to the battered precious metals, although Silver’s broader trend remains bearish, after having lost more than $3 so far this week. The White metal is drawing some support from a weaker US Dollar following the release of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) minutes. The central bank maintained its commitment to fight inflationary pressures, but a split market committee has left investors pondering the timing of the next interest rate hikes. Furthermore, Iran and the US have exchanged attacks for the second consecutive day, but comments from US President Donald Trump affirming that Iran “wants to make a deal so badly” suggest that Washington and Tehran will return to the negotiating table. Technical
Fed minutes cited rising inflation risks and possible 2026 hikes, the 10-year sat near 4.47%, and the S&P 500 traded at 20.1x forward P/E. Why yields could bite.
The post WTI slips below $74 after rally as US‑Iran tensions support prices appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades lower on Thursday and hovers around $73.10 at the time of writing, down 1.95% on the day as investors take profits following two consecutive days of strong gains. Despite the pullback, downside pressure remains limited as heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to underpin Oil prices. Tensions between the United States (US) and Iran escalated after a new wave of US strikes targeted Iranian positions. In response, Tehran launched attacks against several US military facilities in the Gulf and threatened further retaliation. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said that the memorandum of understanding with Iran aimed at easing the conflict was no longer in effect, reviving concerns about a renewed regional escalation. Markets remain focused on developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic shipping lane thro