Geopolitical tensions and regulatory actions are amplifying market volatility, highlighting the fragility of crypto investments amid global conflicts.
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Bitcoin is showing renewed signs of on-chain capitulation, according to Axel Adler Jr.’s latest Adler AM Bitcoin Morning Brief, as realized capitalization contracts and loss-taking sales dominate market activity. The setup matters because two independent measures: Realized Cap Net Position 30D Change and adjusted SOPR are now pointing to the same stress regime. In the June 10 brief, Adler said Bitcoin’s Realized Cap has declined by roughly $12 billion from its mid-May peak, falling from about $1.087 trillion to $1.075 trillion. The 30-day percentage change in Realized Cap has dropped to -1.1%, marking the first time since mid-March that capital outflows have reached that level. “Capital is leaving the Bitcoin network, and participant behavior confirms a capitulation regime – sales are being made at a loss,” Adler wrote. “This brief examines how close the current stress is to the March extremes and what needs to happen for the regime to change.” Bitcoin Realized Cap Outflows Accelerate
Escalating US-Iran tensions threaten regional stability, hinder diplomatic resolutions, and increase the risk of broader military conflict.
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Bitcoin is struggling below $62,000 as selling pressure and fear continue to define the market environment. The uncertainty is real — but top analyst Woominkyu has published an on-chain analysis that reveals what was actually happening during the most intense phase of the decline. And the picture it paints looks considerably different from the panic narrative that dominated market commentary at the time. Related Reading: XRP Leverage Flush Hits Bybit While Binance Holds The Line – Analyst Explains Rare Setup The on-chain data tells a story in two distinct acts. The first act was the trigger. On June 2 and 3, older dormant wallets moved massive supply to exchanges — the Inflow Coin Days Destroyed metric peaked at 2.16 million, reflecting coins that had been held for extended periods suddenly being moved toward the sell side simultaneously. That supply shock forced the price down from $71,000, creating the conditions for the breakdown that followed. The second act is where the data becom
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to prolonged energy market instability and accelerate the adoption of crypto as geopolitical infrastructure.
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BTC has transitioned out of the accumulation phase that drove its rally earlier this year and entered a distribution regime driven by ETF outflows and macroeconomic conditions.
Bitcoin treasury companies are piling on debt at record rates to fund their BTC buying, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards warned, reviving a year-old call that the model rests on unsustainable “fake yield.” A Year-Old Warning Resurfaces Bitcoin treasury companies are taking on debt at record rates to fund their bitcoin purchases, Capriole Investments founder […]