#commerzbank

The post Aluminium: Short supply supports prices despite Gulf outages – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Barbara Lambrecht says Aluminium’s recent correction has likely run its course, with prices rebounding as Chinese and LME inventories fall sharply and Gulf smelter outages persist. The Australian Ministry expects primary Aluminium to be significantly undersupplied this year and next, though longer term it sees strong non-Chinese capacity growth, especially in Indonesia, tempering the structural outlook. Tight market now, capacity boom later “Stocks could fall below 900 Tsd. tons this month. Aluminium stocks registered on the LME have also been falling significantly since the end of October and have dropped below 300 Tsd. tons for the first time since October 2022.” “Also, in its latest market outlook, the Australian Department of Resources and Energy considers price levels in the market to be well supported. Whilst China has partially offset production

The post Gold: Price dip seen limited as PBoC buying continues – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch notes Gold fell to USD 4,120 per ounce after fresh Iranian attacks lifted TTF gas and Oil prices, but Fed rate expectations remain unchanged. He argues downside is limited, as the People’s Bank of China has bought Gold for 20 straight months, recently accelerating purchases and adding 33 tons over the last three months on the lower price environment. Chinese demand cushions recent weakness “The price of gold fell to USD 4,120 per troy ounce this morning following Iranian attacks on two cargo ships and an LNG tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, the TTF natural gas price rose significantly, and oil prices also edged up slightly, fueling inflation concerns.” “However, there was no change in Fed rate hike expectations. The market continues to anticipate interest rate hikes by the Fed of around 30 basis points by the end of the year. As a r