The post Japanese Yen: Choppy trade versus US Dollar around intervention line – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
OCBC’s FX Christopher Wong describes USD/JPY as a two-way trade after suspected Ministry of Finance (MoF) intervention capped gains near 160. He notes bearish daily momentum but says fundamentals are not decisively Japanese Yen (JPY)-positive, with higher Oil prices still a drag. The pair is expected to stay choppy, driven by Oil swings, with support from 155.40 and resistance up to 158.70. Intervention risk tempers upside bias “USD/JPY traded near recent lows last week. Price action remains a two-way trade after recent suspected MoF intervention helped cap upside near the 160-handle.” “While intervention risk may keep JPY shorts more cautious, the fundamental backdrop is not yet decisively JPY-positive. Higher oil prices remain a terms-of-trade drag on JPY. “ “Near term, USD/JPY may stay choppy, driven by swings in oil prices. Pair was last at 156.70 levels. Bearis
The post Japanese Yen : Intervention support and rate path – Rabobank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses the Japanese Yen (JPY), noting that expected endorsement from the United States (US) Treasury for recent Ministry of Finance (MoF) FX intervention should support the currency in the near term. However, Foley argues USD/JPY will only convincingly move lower if Japan’s fundamentals strengthen further and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues tightening policy, alongside a dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook. Yen support hinges on policy trajectory “The visit of US Treasury Secretary Bessent to Japan this week is widely expected to bring an endorsement of the MoF’s recent FX intervention.” “Confirmation that the US Treasury has supported the recent steps taken by the MOF to support the JPY would likely keep it underpinned in the near-term.” “Further out, however, the market will need greater reassurance regarding a strengthening in Ja
The post Japanese Yen: Intervention and BoJ policy in focus – HSBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
HSBC strategists note Japanese policymakers have intervened to support the Japanese Yen (JPY), with sustainability of gains hinging on Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy, global yields and fiscal headlines. They flag the risk markets see the BoJ as behind the curve if June passes without action, while lower international yields or renewed fiscal concerns could also drive future Yen moves. BoJ stance, yields and fiscal risks guide JPY “Japanese policymakers recently stepped into FX markets to help prop up the sagging yen. The question now is whether the latest currency boost will be short-lived, or the start of a durable recovery driven by the Bank of Japan’s policy and improving fiscal confidence.” “First, Bank of Japan policy is the main swing factor. April’s hold came with three dissenters favouring a hike.” “If June passes without action, markets may conclude the BoJ is still behind the c
The post GBP/JPY Price Forecasts: Bulls are pushing towards 214.10 resistance area appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The British Pound (GBP) is drawing support from a weak Japanese Yen (JPY) on Monday, with bulls aiming for the top of last week´s trading range at the 214.00-214.25 area. The recent jump in Oil prices is hurting the Yen across the board, while the Pound shrugs off concerns about the weakness of the Labour cabinet. The Yen is suffering amid rising Oil prices after US President Donald Trump dismissed the latest peace proposal submitted by Tehran. The barrel of Brent Oil appreciated to $103.00 from lows near $97.00 last week, and the WTI trades at $94.60, up from Friday’s close at $91.30. These prices pose a serious challenge to economic growth, as Japan is a net Oil importer, and add pressure on an already strained fiscal stability through energy subsidies. The Pound, on the other hand, is shrugging off fears of political uncertainty with Prime Minister Keir Starmer ser
