U.S. hits Iran after ship attacks, Polymarket sees 61.5% Hormuz normalcy
The post U.S. hits Iran after ship attacks, Polymarket sees 61.5% Hormuz normalcy appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alvin Lang Jul 07, 2026 22:17 Early Wednesday, the U.S. military struck Iran hours after three merchant ships were hit in the Strait of Hormuz, escalating a fragile ceasefire and complicating talks to reopen the waterway. U.S. hits Iran after ship attacks, Polymarket sees 61.5% Hormuz normalcy Strait of Hormuz Escalation: Polymarket Odds Slide After U.S. Strikes on Iran and Merchant Ship Attacks The Strait of Hormuz saw renewed military escalation after three merchant ships were hit and the U.S. carried out new strikes on Iran, raising fresh questions about how quickly shipping can stabilize. On Polymarket, odds for the contract “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” fell to 61.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 61.5% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dec. 31, 2026 (Yes 61.5%, No 38.5%). Odds dropped as