Oil: Hormuz disruption keeps market strained – Societe Generale
The post Oil: Hormuz disruption keeps market strained – Societe Generale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Societe Generale’s Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem argue that the proposed U.S–Iran ceasefire framework would only gradually restore flows through the Strait of Hormuz, keeping Oil markets tight. They see physical supply normalization pushed into late 2026, with end-user relief in Asia delayed to late October and prices staying above $200/bbl, while backwardation persists through 2027. Tight summer balances and delayed Hormuz normalization “If the 60-day MoU runs its course and the mines are then cleared within 30 days, meaningful flow through the Strait could resume, at best, by late August 2026, but end-user markets, especially in Asia, would only see relief by late October at best, leaving the market tight through peak summer and keeping prices elevated (>$200/bbl) with inventory rebuilding pushed into late 2027. Crude backwardation will be strong and persist through 2027.”