Prediction Markets Price Platner’s Maine Senate Exit as All but Certain by Late July
The post Prediction Markets Price Platner’s Maine Senate Exit as All but Certain by Late July appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Kalshi contracts on Platner exiting before July 14 hit an all-time high of 82%, rising to 97% by late July. The Maine Senate winner market swung on the news, with Democrats holding a 59% edge over Republicans at 41%. A new Polymarket contract already prices Troy Jackson as the likeliest Democratic replacement nominee. How the markets repriced the Maine Senate race Traders on Kalshi drove the odds of Platner dropping out before July 14 to an all-time high of 82% on Monday, up from single digits earlier in the day, according to the platform’s own data desk. Contracts covering a later horizon price his exit even higher – around 97% by July 17 and July 31 – reflecting near-certainty that his candidacy does not survive the month, even as the immediate deadline outcome remains less than certain. Under Maine law, July 13 is the deadline for Platner t