Oil: Conflict-driven volatility and positioning – BNY
The post Oil: Conflict-driven volatility and positioning – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights growing fragility in global markets as President Trump declares the Iran ceasefire over and U.S. strikes in the Strait of Hormuz reignite Oil volatility. Brent, WTI and Middle Eastern benchmarks have jumped around 5%, yet inflation expectations remain intact and positioning data show core energy and inflation hedges in place, limiting broader disruption for now. Ceasefire doubts lift crude benchmarks “Markets are starting to look fragile. President Trump is now openly questioning the durability of the ceasefire, while exchanges of fire in the Strait of Hormuz are intensifying. For markets and the global economy, the prospect of a swift return to pre-conflict energy and goods flows through the waterway is fading.” “The immediate oil reaction has been significant, roughly 5%, depending on the benchmark, but not yet large enough to derail the improvement in inflati