Middle East tensions lift oil as Polymarket sees 82.5% odds Fed holds in July
The post Middle East tensions lift oil as Polymarket sees 82.5% odds Fed holds in July appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 07, 2026 22:34 U.S. Central Command said Tuesday evening the U.S. launched powerful strikes on Iran after attacks on three commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, helping lift WTI crude more than 2% above $72. Middle East tensions lift oil as Polymarket sees 82.5% odds Fed holds in July July 2026 Fed Rate Decision: Polymarket “No Change” Jumps to 82.5% as Oil Rallies and FOMC Minutes Loom U.S. stock-index futures were near flat as investors weighed rising Middle East tensions, higher oil prices and the upcoming release of Federal Reserve meeting minutes. On Polymarket, traders pushed up the leading outcome in the “Fed Decision in July?” ladder, pricing “No change” at 82.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices “No change” after the July 2026 Fed meeting at 82.5% (Yes) versus 17.5% (No). The repricing followed a session marked by h