The post Chinese Yuan: Fixing guidance fades, path less anchored – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
OCBC’s Christopher Wong observes that Renminbi (RMB) appreciation guidance is waning, with CNH-CNY fixing gaps narrowing and daily adjustments moderating. Policymakers appear to be shifting toward RMB stability rather than further appreciation. As a result, USD/CNH may become more driven by the broader Dollar, yield differentials and China growth sentiment, leaving downside less anchored. Stability focus shifts USD/CNH drivers “The RMB appreciation impulse appears to show tentative signs of losing some official reinforcement. The CNH-CNY fixing gap has narrowed, while the pace of daily fixing adjustment has moderated.” “Recent fixes have also been less RMB-supportive versus market expectations (Bloomberg proxy), suggesting that the policymakers may be shifting back toward RMB stability management rather than guiding for further appreciation.” “If fixing guidance continues to fad
Nexchip's Hong Kong listing highlights China's strategic pivot to bolster its semiconductor industry amid global trade tensions and tech restrictions.
The post Nexchip begins trading in Hong Kong after raising $890M in share sale appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Taiwan Dollar: Policy-driven flows temper losses against US Dollar – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
OCBC’s Christopher Wong reports that recent Taiwan Dollar (TWD) weakness is moderating, partly due to Central Bank of the Republic of China (CBC) guidance that banks execute large USD sell orders immediately, bringing forward natural supply. However, foreign equity selling and dividend-related USD demand still restrain recovery, with USD/TWD two-way moves likely. Upside momentum pauses as USD supply emerges “Recent weakness in TWD shows tentative signs of moderation. Part of the moderation may reflect the earlier CBC guidance for banks to execute large USD sell orders on the day received, rather than delaying or staggering them.” “This could have helped bring forward natural USD supply and temper the pace of TWD weakness.” “Still, the broader flow backdrop has not turned decisively positive, with foreign equity selling (week-to-date USD4.3bn) and dividend/remittance-r
The post Chinese Yuan: Forecast band tightened as stability holds against US Dollar – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
ING’s Chief Economist Lynn Song notes that the CNY has been one of the strongest performers in 2026, even against a firm Dollar backdrop. Song tightens its USD/CNY forecast band to 6.67–6.92 for the rest of the year, citing PBoC-driven currency stability, strong Chinese exports, a robust current account surplus and expectations of a narrowing US-China yield spread. CNY resilience and revised band “The CNY has been one of the top performers so far in 2026. With upside risks increasingly reflected in current valuations, we are narrowing and modestly lowering our forecast range to 6.67–6.92 for the remainder of the year.” “Will the CNY outperformance repeat in the second half? This is probably a more dollar-centric rather than CNY-centric question. The dollar-weakening trend would likely result in the CNY underperforming other currencies.” “With the PBOC holding f
The post China AI token use explodes to 140 trillion daily with rising western share appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
China’s use of artificial intelligence has surged faster than expected, with daily AI token usage rising more than 1,000-fold in just over two years. The growth is also expanding into Western markets. According to China’s National Bureau of Statistics, daily AI token usage increased from 100 billion at the start of 2024 to 100 trillion by the end of the year, reaching over 140 trillion by March 2025. That’s roughly 100,000 tokens per person across China’s 1.4 billion population. Tokens are the small units of text and data that AI models use to process and generate content, forming the basis of everything from chatbot responses to AI-generated videos. Industry experts in China say token use has grown so large that it is becoming the basis of a whole economy, with AI services increasingly bought, sold, and priced by the token. Chinese models gain ground in the West Ch
The post Chinese Yuan: Range consolidation after recent retreat against US Dollar – UOB appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that after a prior rise in USD/CNH, upward momentum has now faded, with the pair expected to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100 in the near term. The analyst reiterates that a close above 6.8080 would open the way toward 6.8195, while maintaining that upside risk persists as long as USD/CNH holds above 6.7830. Upside risk while support holds “24-HOUR VIEW: After USD rose as we expected on Tuesday, we highlighted the following yesterday: “The advance has gathered momentum, and today, USD could break above the 6.8080 resistance. However, any further advance is unlikely to reach last month’s high of 6.8195. To sustain the momentum, USD must hold above 6.7960 (minor support is at 6.8000).” We were not wrong, as USD subsequently dipped to 6.7984, rose to 6.8101 before easing to close largely unchanged at 6.8061 (+0.03%). Upward momentum has fad
The post South Korean Won: Gains hinge on supportive flows against US Dollar – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Christopher Wong notes that Korean Won strength remains largely flow-driven, with USD/KRW dropping below 1,500 on offshore fund repatriation and official vigilance. While bearish momentum persists, Wong expects the pullback to moderate and sees a sustained break below 1,500 as requiring a benign backdrop for the Dollar, Oil and equities. Flow-driven strength faces key levels “KRW continued to outperform, with USD/KRW falling from almost 1,560 at the start of the month to sub-1500 briefly yesterday before rebounding. The move looks flow-driven rather than risk or macro-driven.” “KRW strengthened despite a less friendly macro backdrop, including the oil spike, renewed geopolitical concerns and KOSPI underperformance. USD/KRW appears to have been weighed by inflows and repatriation of funds raised offshore, while official vigilance has also stayed high as Korea shifts i
The post New Zealand Dollar: Rate support constrained by Oil drag – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Christopher Wong highlights that the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has strengthened after a hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate hike, but higher Oil prices are capping gains. With the RBNZ starting a tightening cycle and growth expected to rebound in 2H26, Wong sees AUD/NZD nearing a peak, though a sustained decline needs stronger New Zealand growth and a more favourable energy backdrop. Hawkish RBNZ meets energy headwinds “The NZD strengthened after a hawkish RBNZ rate hike, though gains were capped by renewed terms-of-trade headwinds from higher oil prices. The RBNZ raised the Official Cash Rate by 25bps to 2.50%, delivering its first hike since May 2023. Forward guidance was hawkish but data-dependent, with the central bank noting that further rate increases may be needed to return inflation to target.” “Domestic data point to a rebound in GDP growth in 2H26 as the dr
China's AI control measures could reshape global tech dynamics, limiting international collaboration and complicating compliance for foreign firms.
The post China considers tightening control over domestic AI technology appeared first on Crypto Briefing.