Czech Koruna: CNB alignment may weigh CZK against Euro – BNY

The post European Central Bank: September hike prospects stay firm – Nordea appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Nordea’s Jan von Gerich argues that the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to continue tightening policy, with the outlook heavily dependent on Middle East developments and energy prices. He notes that a July move is now unlikely after lower inflation and falling Oil, but sees a September rate hike as probable, in line with current market pricing. ECB path tied to energy risks “The ECB outlook still hinges to a large extent on the developments in the Middle East and in energy prices.” “While a July hike is likely to be off the table without a significant jump in energy prices, a September rate move looks much more likely.” “However, the account supported the view that even a quick end to the conflict would not automatically mean that the ECB would be done hiking rates.” “The major fall seen in energy prices on the back of hopes of a peace in the Middle East and lower-than

The post Confirmed: ECB Accounts reveal growing concerns over inflation risks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The European Central Bank (ECB) released the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, revealing growing concern among policymakers over persistent inflationary risks. The discussions show a consensus within the Governing Council that the risks surrounding the inflation outlook are skewed to the upside relative to the ECB staff’s baseline projections. The accounts indicate that headline inflation is expected to rise further over the summer and remain well above the 2% target through the first half of 2027. This outlook comes despite the projections already embedding almost three 25-basis-point interest rate hikes. Policymakers also noted that the outlook could prove even more challenging if energy prices do not decline in line with futures market expectations. Under that scenario, above-target inflation would likely become considerably more persistent. Th

The post Euro: Sideways trading outlook against US Dollar – Rabobank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets discusses how Euro sentiment has cooled after optimism around Germany’s debt brake, with political risks and structural headwinds weighing on the currency. The bank notes EUR/USD is already priced for another ECB hike and expects sideways trading near current levels in the coming months, with only a modest upward bias further out. Euro sentiment cools after 2025 surge “While higher short-term interest rates are currency supportive, the market is already fully priced for another ECB rate hike this year, suggesting that one more policy move is unlikely to offer much support for the EUR. On balance, we expect EUR/USD to trade sideways close to current levels on a 1-to-3-month view.” “Irrespective of this, it is worth noting that the EUR was the second best performing G10 currency in Q2 2025 after the safe haven CHF. This highlights the part the

The ECB's rate hike and digital euro progress could reshape Europe's financial landscape, impacting stablecoin demand and regulatory dynamics. The post ECB hikes rates for the first time since 2023 as digital euro legislation advances appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Euro: ECB hawkish repricing with bond selloff – Deutsche Bank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Deutsche Bank Research’s Early Morning Reid notes that European assets are sensitive to the renewed energy shock. Market pricing for ECB hikes by December rose sharply, implying a chance of three hikes this year after June’s move. Sovereign bonds sold off, with 10-year Bund yields posting their biggest daily jump since May and French OATs reaching their highest level since 2009. ECB expectations and yield surge “Meanwhile at the ECB, there was an even bigger hawkish repricing, with the amount of hikes by December up +12.7bps on the day to 39.5bps.” “And given the ECB already hiked in June, that pricing implies a growing chance that they might end up hiking 3 times by the end of the year.” “Just like when the conflict began, yesterday’s re-escalation caused significant damage to sovereign bonds, particularly in Europe given the region’s exposure to the energy shock.” “So 10yr bund

The post Euro: Early gains against US Dollar at risk on Fed story – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Chris Turner at ING highlights that EUR/USD has held up despite higher Oil, as Euro swap rates outperformed US rates on expectations of an ECB hike in September. However, he argues the Fed narrative will dominate, with EUR/USD likely to surrender gains and fall below 1.14. ECB minutes and energy prices should keep September hike expectations alive. Resilience questioned as Fed dominates “On the eurozone calendar today is the release of the ECB minutes for the 11 June meeting. We assume this will be pitched as hawkish and, combined with higher energy prices, keep expectations alive for a follow-up hike at the September meeting. That is currently priced at +22bp by money markets.” “EUR/USD has held up remarkably well given the jump in oil prices yesterday. Yield spreads did narrow in favour of the euro, where euro swap rates rose around 7-8bp more than short-dated US rates on the

The post British Pound: Flexible BoE stance supports against US Dollar – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY Mellon’s Geoff Yu notes that reduced Bank of England (BoE) tightening expectations are not undermining the British Pound (GBP). He argues that BoE flexibility around its mandate and reluctance to overreact to supply shocks is not hurting GBP, with consistent domestic Gilt demand and positive real rates offset by international concerns about United Kingdom (UK) growth and politics. Rate repricing leaves Pound resilient “In the U.K. and GBP’s case, whether rates are the dominant driver is questionable, given the volume of political noise still weighing on the economy. Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey has credited market rate moves with “doing the tightening for the BOE” and appears clearly skeptical of using further hikes to address a supply shock.” “Compared with the ECB, we believe the BOE’s flexibility around its price stability mandate is a deliberate choi

The post EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Languishes below 0.8550 with bullish attempts subdued appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Euro (EUR) keeps treading water right above one-year lows against the British Pound (GBP) on Thursday. The EUR/GBP is trading flat in the area of 0.8530 at the time of writing, weighed by rising tensions between the US and Iran and the rebound in oil prices. In the Eurozone, German Trade Balance data beat expectations with a EUR 19.1 billion surplus in May, from the 14.5 billion surplus seen in April, as exports grew against expectations. The data, however, has failed to provide any significant support to the Euro. Meanwhile, the US has launched a new round of attacks in Iran, which targeted US bases in Gulf countries in retaliation. US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the ceasefire was over, and Crude prices have bounced up nearly10% with Brent Oil hitting the $80 level on Wednesday, after bottoming near $70.00 last week. Technical Analysis: EUR/