Euro: ECB support limited by spreads – NBC

The post Euro: Upside bias against US Dollar as ECB repriced – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is slightly softer versus the US Dollar (USD) but supported by a sharp recovery in yield spreads and stronger German industrial production. Renewed hawkishness from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers is lifting Euro area rate expectations. They see near-term upside for EUR/USD, with technicals pointing to a drift toward 1.15 within a 1.1400–1.1500 range and limited resistance before 1.1580. Hawkish ECB supports Euro “Bearish/neutral – the recovery in the RSI is important, reflecting a clear fade in bearish momentum and a drift back toward the neutral threshold around 50. The near-term balance of risk appears to favor gains and a drift toward 1.15 and we note the absence of any material resistance ahead of 1.1580. The medium-term trend is flat, and we look to a near-term range bound between 1.1400

The post Euro: ECB cautious as euro area outlook stays fragile – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY’s Geoff Yu cites European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Fabio Panetta, who describes a fragile Euro area outlook with upside inflation risks and downside growth risks. Panetta stresses that policy should not follow a preset path, frames the latest rate hike as recalibration after oil-driven inflation, and says recurring supply shocks may force further adaptation to meet the 2% target. Panetta flags balanced risks for Euro “ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said in Rome that the euro area faces a fragile outlook, with upside risks to inflation still coexisting with downside risks to growth.” “He argued that recent peace talks between the U.S. and Iran could eventually ease energy prices but warned that monetary policy should not follow a preset path.” “Panetta said policymakers must keep a close watch on geopolitical developments, energy markets, supply ch

The post Japanese Yen: Weak against US Dollar with limited upside – NBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. National Bank of Canada ’s (NBC) Stéfane Marion and Kyle Dahms highlight the Japanese Yen (JPY) trading near multi-decade lows around 161 per USD, even as long-end yield differentials move in Japan’s favour. They see stretched short yen positioning, rising intervention risk near 162–163, and gradual BoJ normalization limiting further weakness. Their forecast has USD/JPY easing to 158 by year-end and toward 155 by mid-2027. Intervention risk caps yen losses “The yen remains near multi-decade lows despite some improvement in long-end yield spreads. Cautious BoJ normalization and fiscal concerns continue to limit support, while intervention risk around the 162–163 area and crowded yen shorts make further yen weakness look less likely. A sustained yen recovery likely requires lower U.S. yields or a more forceful BoJ.” “Positioning makes the setup more asymmetric. Non-commercial spec

The post Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP tone risks downside – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak argue that reduced prospects of further tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB) and Federal Reserve (Fed) should ease external pressure on the Zloty. However, they warn that market concerns over a potentially more dovish National Bank of Poland (NBP) are PLN-negative, and with Euro adoption distant, any softening in NBP rhetoric could pose greater downside risks compared with the Forint’s convergence support. PLN vulnerable to softer NBP tone “As the likelihood of further rate hikes from the European Central Bank has diminished and additional monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve this year appears increasingly doubtful, the external negative pressure on the zloty should diminish.” “Still, the FX market appears worried that the NBP may turn more dovish soon, which is PLN negative.” “By contrast, the National Bank of Hungary’s dovish r

The post Euro holds steady as traders assess Fed and ECB interest rate paths appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. EUR/USD trades in a narrow range on Tuesday as traders await greater clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) and European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate paths. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1436, little changed on the day. Inflation risks have moderated as Oil prices have fully unwound their US-Iran war-driven rally following last month’s interim peace agreement, which reopened shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. However, policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic continue to signal that monetary policy is likely to remain restrictive in the coming months, with inflation running above their respective 2% targets. ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said on Tuesday that the “outlook remains fragile,” adding that “upside inflation and downside growth risks remain.” ECB Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch said on Monday that “it seems that

Central banks' shift from the US dollar signals a move towards a multipolar monetary system, with increased reliance on gold and the euro. The post OMFIF survey shows central banks planning to cut US Dollar exposure for first time ever appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post ECB gives eurozone banks until October to draft AI cyber defenses appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Big-time lenders in the eurozone have until October 31 to present an action plan to the European Central Bank (ECB), according to an order from the regulator to ensure that the region’s biggest lenders all score passing grades on their preparedness to defend against AI-driven cyberattacks.  The warning from the apex bank on the Old Continent arrives as the newest AI models have routinely gotten better at finding and exploiting software flaws faster than anyone can patch them, as noted in earlier Cryptopolitan reports.  Which European banks need to come up with AI action plans? The ECB instruction that became public on July 7 was sent as letters to bank chief executives. However, the missive matters to every stakeholder, including anyone who moves money through the European financial system. Claudia Buch, who sits at the head of the ECB’s supervisory board, told CEOs to spell

This shift may alter global financial stability, influence currency valuations, and reshape international economic power dynamics. The post Central banks to cut US dollar holdings, boost gold and euro reserves: Reuters appeared first on Crypto Briefing.