The post Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Ted Hisokawa
Jul 08, 2026 10:22
A report said an Israeli strike in Gaza killed an organizer of a World Cup public screening just before kickoff. Polymarket traders are watching for any ripple into U.S.
Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP Gaza Strike Headline Leaves Polymarket’s 2028 GOP Nominee Odds Unchanged, RFK Jr. Holds 49% Lead An Israeli strike in Gaza reported to have killed a World Cup screening organizer just before kickoff had no visible impact on Polymarket pricing for the “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028” contract. The market’s leading implied probability held steady at 49% at the latest snapshot. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the top outcome to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49% (No 51%). Odds were unchanged in the latest reading, with the leading
The shift to streaming in sports broadcasting reshapes advertising strategies, emphasizing digital tools and targeting growing demographics.
The post 23.2 million viewers watch England vs Mexico World Cup match as streaming dominates sports broadcasting appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Joerg Hiller
Jul 08, 2026 12:28
Tuesday’s New York Fed survey showed 12-month inflation expectations rose to 3.7% as renewed U.S.-Iran airstrikes helped drive oil up about 5%, with Bitcoin hovering near $62,000 ahead of Fed
Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9% Bitcoin Slips Toward $62,000 After Iran-Linked Oil Spike as Polymarket Ladder Prices July 9 Levels Renewed Middle East hostilities that pushed oil prices sharply higher have added a fresh macro shock for Bitcoin, which slipped back toward the low $62,000 area as risk markets reacted. On Polymarket’s “Bitcoin above ___ on July 9?” ladder, traders still price very high odds that Bitcoin will clear the lower strike levels by the July 9 resolution window. Key Takeaways Polymarket implies a 99.9% chance Bitcoin will be above $52,000 on July 9. Traders are weighing conflicting in
The post Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Jessie A Ellis
Jul 08, 2026 12:23
On July 8, 2026, four oil and gas tankers reportedly reversed course after vessel attacks near the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting fresh security risk for energy shipping.
Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31 Strait of Hormuz tanker turnbacks after vessel attacks send Polymarket “traffic returns to normal” odds sliding A report that four oil and gas tankers turned back from the Strait of Hormuz after vessel attacks has coincided with a sharp repricing in Polymarket’s “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” contract. The market’s implied probability for a return to normal traffic has fallen to 57.5% from 85.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 57.5% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dec. 31, 2026. Traders marked the contract lo
The post Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Alvin Lang
Jul 08, 2026 12:16
On July 8, 2026, Donald Trump reportedly called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, without detailing how or when it would happen.
Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3% Trump Calls to Cut Off All U.S. Trade With Spain, Pushing Polymarket’s “Starmer Out Before 2027” Odds Up to 97.3% Donald Trump called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, a headline that landed as Polymarket traders priced an even stronger consensus in the “Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)” market. The contract’s leading outcome, “Starmer – UK PM,” ticked up to 97.3% from 97.05% as of the latest update. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices “Starmer – UK PM” as the next leader out of power before 2027 at 97.3%. Traders nudged the leader higher after headlines that Trump called to cut off all U
The post Trump Strikes Iran Again—After Declaring Ceasefire ‘Over’ appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Topline The U.S. launched its latest strikes against Iran on Wednesday, renewing military action against the country as tensions flare over control of the Strait of Hormuz and after President Donald Trump said a ceasefire reached with Iran last month was “over.” The U.S. launched renewed strikes on Iran on Tuesday in response to Iranian attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Getty Images Key Facts U.S. Central Command said the strikes are being conducted to lessen Iran’s “ability to threaten freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz,” adding the U.S. is “holding Iran accountable for recent unjustified aggression against commercial shipping and civilian crews freely navigating a vital international waterway.” Trump began sharing a series of videos and photos on Truth Social showing burning buildings, saying the destruction was “retribution for yesterday’s bombing of ships by Ir
The post New Zealand Moves To Ban Climate Change Litigation. Will The U.S. Follow? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The New Zealand government has proposed legislation to limit the ability of individuals to sue companies for the impacts of climate change. Similar proposals in the U.S. may be the battle of 2027. getty As the global support for climate change regulations cools in the current political climate, climate activists are increasingly using the courts as a tool. In response, New Zealand has proposed a bill to limit the ability of individuals to sue high greenhouse gas emitters over the impacts of climate change, relying instead on the enforcement measures taken by the government. The bill appears poised to pass. A recent proposal to limit climate change litigation has yet to gain traction in the U.S. Congress, but could find a home in state legislatures next year. Climate change has all but disappeared from the political landscape of the U.S. In Florida, where Governor Ron
Pulisic's World Cup experience highlights the unpredictability of sports, challenging the reliability of prediction markets and crypto ventures.
The post What Christian Pulisic’s World Cup frustration reveals about sports prediction markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post Higher mortgage outlook dips Kane to 26.5% in Polymarket Ballon d’Or 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Ted Hisokawa
Jul 08, 2026 10:40
For the week ending July 2, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.43%, and a report warned it could stay between 6.50% and 6.70% until 2027.
Higher mortgage outlook dips Kane to 26.5% in Polymarket Ballon d’Or 2026 Ballon d’Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane’s Polymarket Odds Dip to 26.5% as Higher-for-Longer Rate Fears Return Mortgage-rate forecasts tied to the Federal Reserve’s policy path were back in focus after a report said borrowing costs may stay elevated for longer, a backdrop that can shift risk appetite across markets. On Polymarket’s “Ballon d’Or Winner 2026” contract, the leading outcome Harry Kane was last priced at 26.5%, down from 27.05%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices Harry Kane as the top 2026 Ballon d’Or pick at 26.5% implied odds. Traders nudged Kane lower as broader macro headlines again highlight