Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31

The post Iran’s Ghalibaf says any US military action will be met with retaliation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Iranian Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned the United States (US) after two days of renewed US strikes, saying that any U.S. military action will prompt retaliation. Ghalibaf emphasized that access to the Strait of Hormuz remains under Iranian control. “America still hasn’t learned that bullying and breaking promises are no longer cost-free. Let me put it plainly: if you strike, you’ll get hit. Don’t flail around pointlessly, or you’ll sink even deeper: the Strait of Hormuz will only open with ‘Iranian arrangements,’ not American threats,” said Ghalibaf on X. The Kuwaiti military said on Thursday that the country’s air defenses are intercepting “hostile missile and drone attacks,” and Kuwait is responding to ‘hostile’ missile, drone attacks. Meanwhile, missile alerts are sounding in Bahrain and Qatar after the US launched fresh airstrikes against Iran.

The post US-Iran strikes hit Hormuz; Polymarket sees 4.5% chance of July traffic normal appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alvin Lang Jul 08, 2026 22:03 Tuesday, US Central Command said it began strikes on Iran after Iranian attacks on three commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran promising a “crushing response.” Polymarket US-Iran strikes hit Hormuz; Polymarket sees 4.5% chance of July traffic normal US Strikes on Iran Send Polymarket Odds Crashing for “Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by July 31?” The Strait of Hormuz remained under renewed security strain after the United States said it launched strikes on Iran in response to attacks on commercial vessels transiting the waterway. On Polymarket, the contract “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?” was priced at 4.5% for Yes, implying traders overwhelmingly expect disruptions to persist through the deadline. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices the leading outcome as No a

The renewed conflict in the Strait of Hormuz heightens geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and potentially disrupting energy supplies. The post Bitcoin drops as Trump declares Iran ceasefire ‘over’ amid renewed Strait of Hormuz attacks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 08, 2026 20:08 A Russian missile strike destroyed a residential building in Kyiv as crews cleared debris after an overnight barrage that killed at least 22 people, with Ukraine saying 68 missiles and 351 drones Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18% Kyiv Missile Barrage Ahead of NATO Ankara Summit Pushes Polymarket “Putin Out by June 30, 2027” Odds to 18% Russian missile and drone strikes on Kyiv ahead of a NATO summit in Ankara sharpened focus on Vladimir Putin’s war strategy, as Ukraine’s leaders and analysts framed the barrage as both external signaling and domestic messaging. On Polymarket, the “Putin out as President of Russia by…?” ladder has repriced higher for the longest-dated step, with the June 30, 2027 line at 18% Yes (up from 8.5%). Key Takeaways Polymarket prices an 18% cha

The post Trump NATO rebuke hits Hormuz normalcy bet as Polymarket Yes slips to 58% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Jessie A Ellis Jul 08, 2026 20:03 On July 7, 2026, Donald Trump faulted NATO allies for not backing the U.S. during its conflict with Iran, questioning the alliance’s burden-sharing. Trump NATO rebuke hits Hormuz normalcy bet as Polymarket Yes slips to 58% Trump Slams NATO Allies as Polymarket Reprices Strait of Hormuz Normal-Traffic Odds to 58% U.S. President Donald Trump’s criticism of NATO allies over support during a conflict with Iran coincided with a sharp repricing in Polymarket’s “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” contract. The market’s implied probability for a return to normal traffic fell to 58% from 85.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 58% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dec. 31, with No at 42%. Traders marked down the contract after Trump criticized several NATO allies for refusing

The post Oil rally lifts loonie as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 75.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alvin Lang Jul 08, 2026 16:18 Canada’s dollar strengthened as oil prices climbed, with traders bracing for upcoming U.S. jobs data that could reshape expectations for the Fed’s next move. Oil rally lifts loonie as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 75.5% Canadian Dollar Rallies With Oil as Polymarket Shifts to 75.5% “No Change” for the July 2026 Fed Decision The Canadian dollar strengthened on an oil rally as traders looked ahead to upcoming U.S. jobs data and the Federal Reserve outlook. On Polymarket, the “Fed Decision in July?” ladder contract moved higher on the “No change” outcome to 75.5% from 71.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 75.5% chance of no Fed rate change after the July 2026 meeting. Traders repriced the July Fed path as markets weighed the oil-linked move in the Canadian dollar ahead of U.S. jobs data and the Fed outlook. The contract resolv

The post Trump scraps Iran MoU, oil jumps as Polymarket prices Hormuz normalcy at 0.85% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 08, 2026 16:13 U.S. President Donald Trump said the Iran memorandum to end the conflict was “over” and warned of additional strikes Wednesday night, sending oil up and stocks lower. Trump scraps Iran MoU, oil jumps as Polymarket prices Hormuz normalcy at 0.85% Trump Says Iran MoU Is “Over”: Polymarket Shifts to Near-Certain “No” on Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalizing by July 15 Oil and broader markets swung after President Donald Trump said a memorandum of understanding with Iran to end the conflict was “over” and warned of additional U.S. strikes. On Polymarket, traders heavily favored “No” on the contract asking whether Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices the “No” outcome at 99.15% and “Yes” at 0.85% for “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?”. Traders repric

The post WTI holds above $74.00 as bears hesitate on US–Iran, Hormuz risks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday and moves away from a two-week high, around the $75.75 region touched the previous day. The commodity currently trades above the $74.00 mark, down 0.30% for the day, though the downside potential seems limited amid a fresh escalation of tensions between the US and Iran. The US military unleashed a new wave of strikes against Iran in retaliation for Tehran’s attacks on commercial ships in the highly contested Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliated by targeting approximately 85 US military installations and assets across Bahrain and Kuwait. Adding to this, US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the memorandum of understanding with Iran aimed at ending the conflict in the Middle East is now over. Traders were quick to price in the geopolitical risk premium, w