GBP/USD Price Forecast: Sustenance above 20-day EMA backs further upside above 1.3400

The post British Pound elevates despite firm US claims appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. GBP/USD trades higher near the 1.3400 area on Thursday, as the US Dollar (USD) fails to find support from stronger-than-expected United States (US) jobless claims data and hawkish signals in the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes. United States (US) Initial Jobless Claims fell to 215K, below expectations of 218K and the previous revised 217K, while the four-week average eased to 218.75K from 222.5K. However, Continuing Jobless Claims rose slightly to 1.814 million from 1.806 million, suggesting that while layoffs remain limited, workers are still taking longer to find new jobs. The Greenback also remained supported after the FOMC Minutes showed that policymakers were divided on the inflation outlook, with some officials seeing a case for tighter policy if price pressure remains elevated. A few Fed officials reportedly saw a case for a rate hike at the June meeting, reinforcing t

The post Fed: Divergent inflation paths shape rate outlook – Societe Generale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Societe Generale’s Jan Groen notes that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes confirmed a hawkish hold, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showing an even split between members favoring unchanged or lower rates and those preferring hikes. The Fed sees inflation as too high and the labor market as durably stable, but is divided on how long elevated inflation will persist, which drives differing policy rate views. Committee split on inflation persistence “We had a hawkish hold at the June FOMC meeting with the June update of the SEP indicating an even split between Committee members that wanted to keep rates on hold or cut vs. members who wanted to raise rates.” “Today’s release of the minutes of that meeting did not contain any major surprises and it confirmed the hawkish undertone from the post-meeting communications.” “Where there was disagreem

The post Fed blames AI boom for rising inflation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. As crypto traders brace for zero Federal funds rate cuts in 2026, the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Meeting Minutes for June, released on July 8, show the Fed is wary of the AI (Artificial Intelligence) boom regarding rising inflation. According to the latest Fed’s FOMC report, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, the ongoing AI stocks boom has contributed to rising inflation. The Fed’s FOMC, analyzed by Finbold on July 9, shows the Fed under Chair Warsh is concerned about the AI buildout. Furthermore, the Fed noted that the notable investments in AI stocks, amid the conflict in the Middle East, has impacted asset prices. As such, the Fed is titled hawkish in the near term, with some members signaling a potential Federal rate hike in 2026. However, the Fed commended the memorandum between the United States and Iran, noting that it has lowered inflation amid rising risks of an AI stock market cras

The post AI markets bounced despite war risk – Can it hold? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Markets had two problems to digest: the FOMC minutes and a fresh wave of war headlines. The first event may already have been priced in, as it is merely a summary of the previous Fed meeting – traders already knew the Fed was not rushing back into rate cuts. The bigger pressure came from renewed geopolitical risk, which pushed oil and yields back into focus and hit risk sentiment early in the session. Yet the AI markets have been recovering. That suggests that risks were largely priced in. Nasdaq/US two-year yield ratio is range-bound The cleaner chart is USTEC/US02Y on the 4H timeframe. It shows whether Nasdaq strength is improving relative to front-end yield pressure. The ratio bounced from the lower end of its recent range, but it is now reacting near the 100 EMA band. That makes the next move important. A push back above the range midline near 7,200 would suggest the AI bounce is gainin

The post Euro falls back as US Dollar recovers early losses appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Euro (EUR) retreats to near 1.1425 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday. The major currency pair falls back as the US Dollar claws back a majority of its early losses, with the appeal of safe-haven assets improving in the wake of renewed geopolitical risks. As of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally lower around 101.00 after rebounding from the day’s low of 100.80. The exchange of attacks between the United States (US) and Iran, following confirmation from President Donald Trump that the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Iran is over, has lifted the safe-haven demand. The US military forces have also attacked Iranian infrastructure, which suggests that tensions could remain prolonged. Higher oil prices due to diminished traffic near the Strait of Hormuz have de-a

The post US Dollar: Fed minutes flag supply-driven inflation risks – TD Securities appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. TD Securities strategists highlight that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes showed rising concern over inflation risks, even as the United States (US) labor market remains stable. Some participants saw a case for a June hike but backed holding rates, while most signaled willingness to pursue further policy firming if supply-side shocks, including Oil and tariffs, push inflation higher. Fed minutes stress hawkish supply risks “The June FOMC minutes showed participants concerned about rising inflation risks. “A few” participants saw the case for hiking in June, but still supported keeping rates on hold.” “The minutes also noted that the labor market remained stable, and that inflation risks were rising due to AI, tariffs, supply chain disruptions, and higher oil prices. However, in a hawkish development, “most” participants saw the case for “policy fi

The post Gold Price Forecast: Recoveries likely be capped as 20-day EMA slopes lower appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 0.8% higher to near $4,110 during the European trading session on Thursday. The precious metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) is down despite a slight improvement in expectations that the next monetary policy move by the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be on the upside. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.1% lower to near 100.95 even after recovering over half of its early losses. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds of the Fed raising interest rates at least once this year have increased to 83.4% from almost 78% recorded a week back. Hawkish Fed prospects have increased as oil prices have bounced back strongly due to renewed Middle East tensions. Technically, higher interest rates by the Fed bode poorly for non-yielding assets, such as Gold. Investors worry

The post US Dollar Index: Slips despite yield support – DBS appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped from 101.28 to 101 late in the US session, even as the US Treasury 2Y yield rose and crude Oil stayed supported by Middle East tensions. Futures pricing now shows September Fed hike odds above 50%, but FOMC Minutes suggest a divided committee and limited forward guidance from Chair Kevin Warsh. Middle East stress and Fed repricing “Although the futures market returned the odds of a September Fed hike above 50%, the FOMC Minutes did not convey the same urgency for one by the divided Fed participants.” “The DXY Index fell late in the US session from 101.28 to 101, decoupling from the higher US Treasury 2Y yield, despite its strong correlation with crude oil prices after President Donald Trump declared that the interim ceasefire agreement with Iran was over.” “However, Trump clarified that the US blockade applied s