The post US Dollar Index: Slips despite yield support – DBS appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped from 101.28 to 101 late in the US session, even as the US Treasury 2Y yield rose and crude Oil stayed supported by Middle East tensions. Futures pricing now shows September Fed hike odds above 50%, but FOMC Minutes suggest a divided committee and limited forward guidance from Chair Kevin Warsh. Middle East stress and Fed repricing “Although the futures market returned the odds of a September Fed hike above 50%, the FOMC Minutes did not convey the same urgency for one by the divided Fed participants.” “The DXY Index fell late in the US session from 101.28 to 101, decoupling from the higher US Treasury 2Y yield, despite its strong correlation with crude oil prices after President Donald Trump declared that the interim ceasefire agreement with Iran was over.” “However, Trump clarified that the US blockade applied s
The post Fed blames AI boom for rising inflation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
As crypto traders brace for zero Federal funds rate cuts in 2026, the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Meeting Minutes for June, released on July 8, show the Fed is wary of the AI (Artificial Intelligence) boom regarding rising inflation. According to the latest Fed’s FOMC report, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, the ongoing AI stocks boom has contributed to rising inflation. The Fed’s FOMC, analyzed by Finbold on July 9, shows the Fed under Chair Warsh is concerned about the AI buildout. Furthermore, the Fed noted that the notable investments in AI stocks, amid the conflict in the Middle East, has impacted asset prices. As such, the Fed is titled hawkish in the near term, with some members signaling a potential Federal rate hike in 2026. However, the Fed commended the memorandum between the United States and Iran, noting that it has lowered inflation amid rising risks of an AI stock market cras
The post Euro falls back as US Dollar recovers early losses appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The Euro (EUR) retreats to near 1.1425 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday. The major currency pair falls back as the US Dollar claws back a majority of its early losses, with the appeal of safe-haven assets improving in the wake of renewed geopolitical risks. As of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades marginally lower around 101.00 after rebounding from the day’s low of 100.80. The exchange of attacks between the United States (US) and Iran, following confirmation from President Donald Trump that the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Iran is over, has lifted the safe-haven demand. The US military forces have also attacked Iranian infrastructure, which suggests that tensions could remain prolonged. Higher oil prices due to diminished traffic near the Strait of Hormuz have de-a
The post CEE FX: Forint longs face geopolitical test – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports that the National Bank of Poland kept a neutral stance, with elevated uncertainty from Middle East tensions and CPI projections above expectations. US–Iran headlines triggered a sell-off in CEE rates and FX, with EUR/HUF jumping 1.2%. Taborsky sees EUR/HUF around 360 as attractive for new Forint longs if tensions prove temporary. NBP steady as EUR/HUF spikes “The meeting of the National Bank of Poland did not bring many surprises. The statement is broadly neutral and almost unchanged from June. The MPC acknowledges lower oil prices, weaker growth in Poland’s key trading partners, and a recent decline in inflation.” “Yesterday, the CEE region was hit hard by US-Iran headlines, and we saw a sell-off across rates and FX. In the Czech Republic, the market added half a rate hike to pricing for a total of one and a half hikes now. In Poland, expectations have retur
The post Crude Oil Jumped to $74, and a Tiny Crypto Token Saw It Coming appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Crude oil price has jumped back to $74 a barrel after a fragile Iran ceasefire collapsed this week. Fresh tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz revived fears over the world’s most important oil chokepoint, and crude oil prices spiked in response. But the bounce did not catch everyone off guard. The last trading data before the truce broke shows big players were already betting on higher prices. A tiny corner of the crypto market, courtesy of the WTI Coin flashed the same signal. WTI Coin Details: RWA.xyz Big Traders Were Buying the Oil Price Dip The futures market may have called the move first. Each week, a US regulator publishes the Commitments of Traders (COT) report, which shows who holds oil futures and on which side. Want more insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Newsletter here. As of June 30, oil was still sliding toward $68 on fears of a supp
The post Gold Price Forecast: Recoveries likely be capped as 20-day EMA slopes lower appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 0.8% higher to near $4,110 during the European trading session on Thursday. The precious metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) is down despite a slight improvement in expectations that the next monetary policy move by the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be on the upside. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.1% lower to near 100.95 even after recovering over half of its early losses. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds of the Fed raising interest rates at least once this year have increased to 83.4% from almost 78% recorded a week back. Hawkish Fed prospects have increased as oil prices have bounced back strongly due to renewed Middle East tensions. Technically, higher interest rates by the Fed bode poorly for non-yielding assets, such as Gold. Investors worry
The post Ethereum price holds $1,750 as Middle East tensions and $1,800 wall cap recovery appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Ethereum price has remained pinned near $1,750 after renewed Middle East tensions triggered a risk-off mood across financial markets and sellers once again defended the $1,800 resistance zone. Summary Ethereum price remains stuck near $1,750 as Middle East tensions keep risk appetite subdued across crypto markets. Repeated rejection at $1,800 and heavy liquidation clusters continue to block a sustained ETH breakout. A break below $1,750 could expose $1,700, while reclaiming $1,800 may trigger a short squeeze toward $2,000. According to data from crypto.news, Ethereum (ETH) price traded around $1,756 on Wednesday after failing to sustain multiple attempts above $1,800 during the past week. The latest rejection followed U.S. airstrikes on Iranian military targets after Iran reportedly fired on civilian shipping near the Strait of Hormuz, sending investors toward
Ethereum price has remained pinned near $1,750 after renewed Middle East tensions triggered a risk-off mood across financial markets and sellers once again defended the $1,800 resistance zone. According to data from crypto.news, Ethereum (ETH) price traded around $1,756 on…
The post US Dollar Index: Fed hawks supported by energy spike – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
ING’s Chris Turner notes that higher Oil prices and Gulf tensions have driven a bigger reaction in rates than in FX, with Brent near $80 supporting Fed hawks. The US Dollar (USD) is expected to stay firm versus low-yielders, while carry trades in Emerging Markets (EM) have been unwound. Turner sees US Dollar Index (DXY) around 101.00 with scope back toward 101.50. Fed scenarios and DXY support “Dominating global markets yesterday was the seeming breakdown in negotiations between the US and Iran and a more serious exchange of fire. That has extended overnight, with the US military striking infrastructure targets in northern Iraq – the first strike on infrastructure since early April. Brent briefly touched $80/bl and we saw some large moves at the short end of interest curves.” “In addition, last night saw the release of the FOMC minutes for the June meeting. Some had feared that Fed