Indian Rupee rebounds, road ahead remains rough

The post Euro: Hawkish Fed keeps gains contained against US Dollar – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Thu Lan Nguyen at Commerzbank notes that EUR/USD has traded in a narrow range and appears largely unaffected by Iran-related headlines, as the correlation with Oil has weakened. She highlights that markets now price Fed rate hikes despite softer labour data, reflecting a hawkish FOMC bias and reduced perceived risk of politically driven monetary easing in the United States. Fed reaction function supports Dollar “EUR/USD appears largely unaffected by the latest developments in the Iran conflict and continues to trade in a relatively narrow range. We had already pointed out that the correlation between the exchange rate and the oil price has diminished significantly.” “In other words, the market is now pricing in Fed rate hikes even in spite of a marked decline in oil prices.” “The fact that rate-hike expectations in the market are nevertheless holding up is mainly linked

The post US Dollar: Supported by higher yields and FOMC stance – MUFG appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. MUFG’s Lloyd Chan reports that June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes show policymakers increasingly concerned that US inflation could stay elevated, with some seeing a case for a rate hike. Most participants indicated a restrictive stance may need to be maintained if inflation proves persistent. FOMC minutes and yield rebound “The minutes from the June FOMC meeting highlighted growing concern among policymakers that inflation could remain elevated, even as downside risks to the labour market have moderated somewhat.” “While members ultimately supported leaving rates unchanged, a few participants noted that there was a case for a rate hike at the June meeting.” “Policymakers also discussed a range of economic scenarios for the months ahead.” “In the scenario where inflation remains persistent, most participants indicated that a restrictive policy stance would likely nee

The post USD/CHF Price Forecast: Dollar bulls lose steam after rejection at 0.8100 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar is trading lower against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Thursday, as investors ponder the consequences of reciprocal US and Iran attacks and a 10% rebound in Oil prices, on the major central banks’ monetary policies. The USD/CHF pair has retreated to levels near 0.8050 after being rejected at 0.8100 on Wednesday. The Swiss Franc is drawing some support from a mild US Dollar weakness, as the Dollar Index (DXY) dips below 101.00 to test weekly lows. Investors sold the Greenback across the board on Wednesday, following the release of the Federal Reserve’s minutes, unimpressed with the central bank’s commitment to bring inflationary pressures back to target. Geopolitical tensions are also failing to support the safe-haven US Dollar on Thursday. A second round of reciprocal attacks between the US and Iran cast further doubt on a negotiated end of the war, and have

The post Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD jumps to near $59 as US Dollar declines appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Silver price (XAG/USD) is up over 1% to near $59.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) faces selling pressure despite multiple tailwinds. At press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades 0.25% lower to near 100.80. US Dollar Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD -0.24% -0.28% -0.18% -0.10% -0.18% -0.58% -0.33% EUR 0.24% -0.04% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% -0.31% -0.09% GBP 0.28% 0.04% 0.07% 0.17% 0.12% -0.27% -0.04% JPY 0.18% -0.04% -0.07% 0.07% 0.05% -0.38% -0.13% CAD 0.10% -0.13% -0.17% -0.07% -0.04% -0.44% -0.21% AUD 0.18% -0.09% -0.12% -0.05% 0.04% -0.39% -0.17% NZD 0.58% 0.31% 0.27% 0.38%

The post New Zealand Dollar advances above 0.5700 on RBNZ hawkish stance appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The NZD/USD pair gains momentum to around 0.5735 during the early European session on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on a hawkish interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). The US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report will be published later on Thursday. As widely expected, the RBNZ raised its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.50% from 2.25% at its July meeting on Wednesday. The central bank signalled that additional tightening may be needed, as policymakers sought to ensure inflation returns to target despite easing energy prices and an economy that is only gradually regaining momentum. However, softer Chinese inflation data might cap the upside for the China-proxy Kiwi. Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China on Thursday showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) climb

The post British Pound: Flexible BoE stance supports against US Dollar – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY Mellon’s Geoff Yu notes that reduced Bank of England (BoE) tightening expectations are not undermining the British Pound (GBP). He argues that BoE flexibility around its mandate and reluctance to overreact to supply shocks is not hurting GBP, with consistent domestic Gilt demand and positive real rates offset by international concerns about United Kingdom (UK) growth and politics. Rate repricing leaves Pound resilient “In the U.K. and GBP’s case, whether rates are the dominant driver is questionable, given the volume of political noise still weighing on the economy. Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey has credited market rate moves with “doing the tightening for the BOE” and appears clearly skeptical of using further hikes to address a supply shock.” “Compared with the ECB, we believe the BOE’s flexibility around its price stability mandate is a deliberate choi

The post EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Languishes below 0.8550 with bullish attempts subdued appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Euro (EUR) keeps treading water right above one-year lows against the British Pound (GBP) on Thursday. The EUR/GBP is trading flat in the area of 0.8530 at the time of writing, weighed by rising tensions between the US and Iran and the rebound in oil prices. In the Eurozone, German Trade Balance data beat expectations with a EUR 19.1 billion surplus in May, from the 14.5 billion surplus seen in April, as exports grew against expectations. The data, however, has failed to provide any significant support to the Euro. Meanwhile, the US has launched a new round of attacks in Iran, which targeted US bases in Gulf countries in retaliation. US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the ceasefire was over, and Crude prices have bounced up nearly10% with Brent Oil hitting the $80 level on Wednesday, after bottoming near $70.00 last week. Technical Analysis: EUR/

The post Oil: Risk premium returns on Gulf supply concerns – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that recent US policy towards Iran has reversed market expectations of a rapid normalisation in Gulf energy supplies, challenging earlier pricing of an Oil supply glut. With the Iran deal apparently called off by President Trump, she notes that Middle East risks remain unresolved, implying a renewed risk premium and potential volatility in energy prices. US stance revives supply risk “Over the past few days we had expressed scepticism about the rapid decline in the oil price, not least because shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has picked up but still remains well below pre-war levels. The market, however, appeared to look straight through this and was already pricing in supply glut on the oil market.” “It turns out that the US administration shares our sceptical assessment of the oil supply situation rather than the market’s. And