Indonesian Rupiah: Weakness risks persist – MUFG

The post Malaysian Ringgit: Range-bound outlook holds against US Dollar – MUFG appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) kept the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 2.75% and expects it to stay on hold through 2026, with domestic fundamentals described as broadly supportive. Recent Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) weakness has stayed below 4.15 against the US Dollar (USD), and Chan expects USD/MYR to trade broadly within a 4.00–4.20 range near term, while maintaining a neutral stance on Malaysian government securities. Ringgit seen holding broad range “In Malaysia, BNM kept the Overnight Policy Rate unchanged at 2.75% and maintained a broadly neutral policy stance.” “We expect BNM to remain on hold through the rest of 2026, as current monetary settings continue to support growth while keeping inflation manageable.” “Domestic fundamentals remain broadly supportive, underpinned by a resilient labour market, healthy investment approvals, and contained infl

The post United States Dollar Index little changed as traders weigh geopolitics and Fed outlook appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades within a volatile range on Friday as a sparse US economic calendar leaves traders watching developments in the Middle East after renewed hostilities between the United States (US) and Iran this week. Even so, the latest flare-up has provided only limited support, with the DXY set to finish the week virtually unchanged. At the time of writing, the index, which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, is trading around 100.85 after slipping to a one-week low of 100.60 earlier in the Asian session. On Friday, US President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post that Iran had asked to continue talks and that the US had agreed, while reiterating that the ceasefire was “over.” The mix of diplomacy and ongoing tensions has kept traders cautious about a quick end to the war. Meanwhile, hawkish Federa

The post Silver edges lower as Fed hike bets weight ahead US CPI data appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Silver (XAG/USD) trades slightly lower on Friday, hovering around $59.90 at the time of writing, down a modest 0.08% on the day. The white metal is struggling to extend its rebound as renewed tensions in the Middle East fuel concerns about persistent inflation, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise interest rates. The resumption of hostilities between the United States (US) and Iran has revived concerns over energy supplies, lifting Oil prices and strengthening expectations of persistent inflation. This backdrop keeps expectations for monetary tightening alive and weighs on non-yielding assets such as Silver. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are now pricing in a high chance of at least one interest rate hike before the end of the year. This outlook is also supporting the US Dollar (USD), whose rebound is limiting the appeal of USD-denominat

The post Euro eases from one-week high as traders assess Middle East developments appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. EUR/USD trims gains on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds while traders digest the latest developments in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1433, easing from a one-week high of 1.1460 touched earlier during the Asian session. In a post on Truth Social, US President Donald Trump said Iran had asked to continue talks and that the United States had agreed, while emphasizing that Washington had informed Tehran that the ceasefire was “over.” Trump’s remarks came after the US and Iran exchanged military strikes following attacks by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz earlier this week. Earlier on Friday, Reuters reported that Qatari mediators are in Iran for talks aimed at creating conditions for broader negotiations. As the situation remains fluid, the US Dollar continu

The post WTI price holds near $72 as US-Iran talks offset Hormuz supply risks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil trades around $72 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.42% on the day, but remains in a consolidation phase after reaching a more than two-week high earlier this week. Investors are assessing mixed signals from the Middle East, balancing ongoing military tensions against renewed diplomatic efforts. Market sentiment improved slightly after a US official confirmed that technical talks with Iran remain ongoing despite US President Donald Trump’s comments that the memorandum of understanding with Tehran was no longer in effect. Reuters also reported that Qatari negotiators are in Iran to meet with Iranian officials in an effort to de-escalate tensions and create conditions for broader negotiations to continue, in coordination with the United States (US). According to a source cited by Reuters, the talks are focused on implementing the US-Ira

The post What’s keeping Gold under pressure despite geopolitical risks? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Friday, struggling to build on the previous day’s gains and heading for a weekly loss as renewed hostilities in the Middle East have revived fears of energy-driven inflation and Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,098, down 0.60% on the day. The metal, however, lacks follow-through selling as traders reassess US-Iran tensions following reports that technical talks are continuing despite the military clashes, prompting a pullback in crude Oil prices. Can Gold stage a sustained recovery? While Gold has staged a modest rebound from $3,941, its lowest level since November 2025, the metal is struggling to attract meaningful buying interest. Since the US-Iran war broke out in February, Gold has behaved less like a traditional safe-haven asset and more like a rate-sensitive instrument,

The post US Dollar: Geopolitics faded as markets eye rates – ING appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the US Dollar (USD) has been broadly unchanged despite renewed Middle East tensions, as Oil has retraced and risk sentiment improved. He highlights that fading geopolitical risk keeps focus on front-end rate differentials, which have moved against the Dollar in some cases. ING sees upside risks for the Dollar but expects only limited DXY reaction if Oil stays contained. Dollar sidelined by rate focus “Markets are taking a decisively optimistic stance on fresh US-Iran tensions. Multiple reports indicate traffic in Hormuz has dropped to almost zero in the past couple of days, and we have seen effectively no intent of de-escalation from either party.” “The 2-year USD swap rate has erased roughly half of the 10bp jump after the re-escalation – 35bp of tightening is currently priced in for December.” “The dollar is seeing no benefits from this situation. Fading

The post Euro: Yield spreads hint at recovery against US Dollar – MUFG appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that European Central Bank (ECB) minutes added little new information but confirmed openness to another rate hike, consistent with MUFG’s call for a 25bp move in September. Despite the Euro being July’s weakest G10 currency, a turning 2-year yield spread and potential US yield declines could support renewed EUR/USD upside in coming weeks. ECB stance and yields guide Euro outlook “The ECB will be certainly less concerned over longer-term inflation expectations becoming un-anchored with the 5y5y inflation swap rate having declined since the initial ceasefire was agreed.” “If crude oil and/or natural gas prices were to rebound sharply then risks will rise of course but at this point longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.” “In that context we see continued risks of the ECB acting again consistent with our current forecast of another