Netanyahu warns on Turkey F-35s as Polymarket puts Eizenkot at 40%

The post Gold ETFs Lose $8.9 Billion in June as Global Outflows Accelerate appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Investors pulled $8.9 billion from gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in June, with North American products accounting for $5.5 billion of the withdrawals as bullion’s price slide deepened. The monthly retreat came as gold recorded its fourth straight losing month. The metal fell 11.7% as a hawkish Federal Reserve and Middle East tensions steered investors away from the metal. Gold ETF Outflows Accelerated in June According to the World Gold Council report, total assets under management fell 13% to $526 billion in the month. In addition, holdings dropped 74 tonnes to 4,047 tonnes. The selling followed a sharp price pullback that reset investor allocations. During the month, New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signaled a hawkish stance, and the US-Iran conflict lifted inflation fears. Together, they raised expectations of higher rates ahead. Rising real yields and a stronger dollar incre

The post US-Iran strikes rattle Hormuz; Polymarket puts July normalization odds at 4.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 09, 2026 04:03 Early Thursday, the U.S. launched new airstrikes on Iran, and Iran fired missiles affecting Bahrain, Kuwait and Qatar, raising doubts about any interim deal and the status of the Hormuz ceasefire. US-Iran strikes rattle Hormuz; Polymarket puts July normalization odds at 4.5% U.S. Airstrikes on Iran Push Polymarket Odds of Strait of Hormuz Normalizing by July 31 Down to 4.5% U.S. airstrikes on Iran and Tehran’s reported missile fire toward Bahrain, Kuwait and Qatar have sharpened concerns about security around the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for commercial shipping. On Polymarket, traders have sharply reduced the odds that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31, pushing the contract’s Yes price down to 4.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 95.5% chance of “No” on Strait of Hormuz traffic returnin

The post US strikes on Iran hit Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes drops to 58.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Jessie A Ellis Jul 09, 2026 02:03 On July 8, 2026, the United States launched new strikes on Iran during the seven-day funeral of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, citing attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz. US strikes on Iran hit Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes drops to 58.5% U.S. Strikes Iran During Khamenei Funeral: Polymarket Odds Drop on Hormuz Traffic Normalization The U.S. launched new strikes on Iran despite President Donald Trump saying attacks would pause during the seven-day funeral of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, citing responses to attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz. On Polymarket, the contract “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” was last priced at 58.5% for Yes, down from 85.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 58.5% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dece

The post US-Iran strikes hit Hormuz; Polymarket sees 4.5% chance of July traffic normal appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alvin Lang Jul 08, 2026 22:03 Tuesday, US Central Command said it began strikes on Iran after Iranian attacks on three commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran promising a “crushing response.” Polymarket US-Iran strikes hit Hormuz; Polymarket sees 4.5% chance of July traffic normal US Strikes on Iran Send Polymarket Odds Crashing for “Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by July 31?” The Strait of Hormuz remained under renewed security strain after the United States said it launched strikes on Iran in response to attacks on commercial vessels transiting the waterway. On Polymarket, the contract “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?” was priced at 4.5% for Yes, implying traders overwhelmingly expect disruptions to persist through the deadline. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices the leading outcome as No a

The post Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 08, 2026 20:08 A Russian missile strike destroyed a residential building in Kyiv as crews cleared debris after an overnight barrage that killed at least 22 people, with Ukraine saying 68 missiles and 351 drones Kyiv hit before NATO Ankara summit as Polymarket puts Putin exit by 2027 at 18% Kyiv Missile Barrage Ahead of NATO Ankara Summit Pushes Polymarket “Putin Out by June 30, 2027” Odds to 18% Russian missile and drone strikes on Kyiv ahead of a NATO summit in Ankara sharpened focus on Vladimir Putin’s war strategy, as Ukraine’s leaders and analysts framed the barrage as both external signaling and domestic messaging. On Polymarket, the “Putin out as President of Russia by…?” ladder has repriced higher for the longest-dated step, with the June 30, 2027 line at 18% Yes (up from 8.5%). Key Takeaways Polymarket prices an 18% cha

The post Trump NATO rebuke hits Hormuz normalcy bet as Polymarket Yes slips to 58% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Jessie A Ellis Jul 08, 2026 20:03 On July 7, 2026, Donald Trump faulted NATO allies for not backing the U.S. during its conflict with Iran, questioning the alliance’s burden-sharing. Trump NATO rebuke hits Hormuz normalcy bet as Polymarket Yes slips to 58% Trump Slams NATO Allies as Polymarket Reprices Strait of Hormuz Normal-Traffic Odds to 58% U.S. President Donald Trump’s criticism of NATO allies over support during a conflict with Iran coincided with a sharp repricing in Polymarket’s “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” contract. The market’s implied probability for a return to normal traffic fell to 58% from 85.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 58% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dec. 31, with No at 42%. Traders marked down the contract after Trump criticized several NATO allies for refusing

The post Oil rally lifts loonie as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 75.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alvin Lang Jul 08, 2026 16:18 Canada’s dollar strengthened as oil prices climbed, with traders bracing for upcoming U.S. jobs data that could reshape expectations for the Fed’s next move. Oil rally lifts loonie as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 75.5% Canadian Dollar Rallies With Oil as Polymarket Shifts to 75.5% “No Change” for the July 2026 Fed Decision The Canadian dollar strengthened on an oil rally as traders looked ahead to upcoming U.S. jobs data and the Federal Reserve outlook. On Polymarket, the “Fed Decision in July?” ladder contract moved higher on the “No change” outcome to 75.5% from 71.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 75.5% chance of no Fed rate change after the July 2026 meeting. Traders repriced the July Fed path as markets weighed the oil-linked move in the Canadian dollar ahead of U.S. jobs data and the Fed outlook. The contract resolv

The post Trump scraps Iran MoU, oil jumps as Polymarket prices Hormuz normalcy at 0.85% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 08, 2026 16:13 U.S. President Donald Trump said the Iran memorandum to end the conflict was “over” and warned of additional strikes Wednesday night, sending oil up and stocks lower. Trump scraps Iran MoU, oil jumps as Polymarket prices Hormuz normalcy at 0.85% Trump Says Iran MoU Is “Over”: Polymarket Shifts to Near-Certain “No” on Strait of Hormuz Traffic Normalizing by July 15 Oil and broader markets swung after President Donald Trump said a memorandum of understanding with Iran to end the conflict was “over” and warned of additional U.S. strikes. On Polymarket, traders heavily favored “No” on the contract asking whether Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices the “No” outcome at 99.15% and “Yes” at 0.85% for “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?”. Traders repric