US strikes Iran, Polymarket invasion odds rise to 14.5%

The post Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Joerg Hiller Jul 08, 2026 12:28 Tuesday’s New York Fed survey showed 12-month inflation expectations rose to 3.7% as renewed U.S.-Iran airstrikes helped drive oil up about 5%, with Bitcoin hovering near $62,000 ahead of Fed Oil spike hits Bitcoin near $62K as Polymarket pegs $52K at 99.9% Bitcoin Slips Toward $62,000 After Iran-Linked Oil Spike as Polymarket Ladder Prices July 9 Levels Renewed Middle East hostilities that pushed oil prices sharply higher have added a fresh macro shock for Bitcoin, which slipped back toward the low $62,000 area as risk markets reacted. On Polymarket’s “Bitcoin above ___ on July 9?” ladder, traders still price very high odds that Bitcoin will clear the lower strike levels by the July 9 resolution window. Key Takeaways Polymarket implies a 99.9% chance Bitcoin will be above $52,000 on July 9. Traders are weighing conflicting in

The post Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Jessie A Ellis Jul 08, 2026 12:23 On July 8, 2026, four oil and gas tankers reportedly reversed course after vessel attacks near the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting fresh security risk for energy shipping. Tankers turn back after attacks, Polymarket sees 57.5% Hormuz normal by Dec 31 Strait of Hormuz tanker turnbacks after vessel attacks send Polymarket “traffic returns to normal” odds sliding A report that four oil and gas tankers turned back from the Strait of Hormuz after vessel attacks has coincided with a sharp repricing in Polymarket’s “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” contract. The market’s implied probability for a return to normal traffic has fallen to 57.5% from 85.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 57.5% chance that Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dec. 31, 2026. Traders marked the contract lo

The post Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Alvin Lang Jul 08, 2026 12:16 On July 8, 2026, Donald Trump reportedly called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, without detailing how or when it would happen. Trump urges US-Spain trade cutoff as Polymarket backs Starmer exit at 97.3% Trump Calls to Cut Off All U.S. Trade With Spain, Pushing Polymarket’s “Starmer Out Before 2027” Odds Up to 97.3% Donald Trump called for cutting off all U.S. trade with Spain, a headline that landed as Polymarket traders priced an even stronger consensus in the “Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)” market. The contract’s leading outcome, “Starmer – UK PM,” ticked up to 97.3% from 97.05% as of the latest update. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices “Starmer – UK PM” as the next leader out of power before 2027 at 97.3%. Traders nudged the leader higher after headlines that Trump called to cut off all U

The post Japanese Yen gains ground on intervention risks appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The USD/JPY pair edges lower to around 162.45 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) amid fears of possible intervention from Japanese authorities. The US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report is due later on Thursday. Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said that Tokyo remains in regular contact with the US on foreign exchange issues and is ready to respond appropriately at any time. “The yen’s current weakness is excessive and fails to reflect the strong fundamentals of the Japanese economy, a misalignment that could prompt major central banks to launch coordinated intervention,” said Michael Nizard, head of multi-asset and overlay at Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management. According to Federal Reserve (Fed) Minutes released on Wednesday, the committee is split over whether inflation is likely to stay elevated or whether

The post WIF Price Prediction: The Hat Is Falling — $0.14 on Deck as Bears Own the Tape appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Rongchai Wang Jul 08, 2026 11:26 WIF is bleeding through key short-term support with its entire moving average stack stacked overhead at $0.17 — a textbook seller-in-charge formation. With no bullish catalyst in sight and momentum… The Immediate Setup WIF is sitting at $0.16, down over 7% on the day, and the chart is not ambiguous. Price is trading below its 7-, 20-, and 50-day moving averages — all converged at $0.17 like a ceiling cemented in concrete. The 200-day SMA at $0.22 is essentially irrelevant in the short term, but it serves as a brutal reminder of how far this token has fallen from grace. That’s a 37% gap between current price and the long-term mean, and nothing in today’s tape suggests a reversion trade is loading. The day’s range of $0.15 to $0.17 tells the whole story. Sellers are defending $0.17 with discipline — every intraday

Escalating US-Iran tensions may heighten crypto market volatility, prompting stricter sanctions enforcement and impacting global financial dynamics. The post US strikes on Iranian infrastructure raise geopolitical risk questions for crypto markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The post Trump Strikes Iran Again—After Declaring Ceasefire ‘Over’ appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Topline The U.S. launched its latest strikes against Iran on Wednesday, renewing military action against the country as tensions flare over control of the Strait of Hormuz and after President Donald Trump said a ceasefire reached with Iran last month was “over.” The U.S. launched renewed strikes on Iran on Tuesday in response to Iranian attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Getty Images Key Facts U.S. Central Command said the strikes are being conducted to lessen Iran’s “ability to threaten freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz,” adding the U.S. is “holding Iran accountable for recent unjustified aggression against commercial shipping and civilian crews freely navigating a vital international waterway.” Trump began sharing a series of videos and photos on Truth Social showing burning buildings, saying the destruction was “retribution for yesterday’s bombing of ships by Ir

The post Higher mortgage outlook dips Kane to 26.5% in Polymarket Ballon d’Or 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Ted Hisokawa Jul 08, 2026 10:40 For the week ending July 2, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.43%, and a report warned it could stay between 6.50% and 6.70% until 2027. Higher mortgage outlook dips Kane to 26.5% in Polymarket Ballon d’Or 2026 Ballon d’Or Winner 2026: Harry Kane’s Polymarket Odds Dip to 26.5% as Higher-for-Longer Rate Fears Return Mortgage-rate forecasts tied to the Federal Reserve’s policy path were back in focus after a report said borrowing costs may stay elevated for longer, a backdrop that can shift risk appetite across markets. On Polymarket’s “Ballon d’Or Winner 2026” contract, the leading outcome Harry Kane was last priced at 26.5%, down from 27.05%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices Harry Kane as the top 2026 Ballon d’Or pick at 26.5% implied odds. Traders nudged Kane lower as broader macro headlines again highlight