US Dollar: Warsh risks skewed to cuts – Commerzbank
The post US Dollar: Warsh risks skewed to cuts – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke argues that interest rate differentials are again driving the Dollar, with USD reacting strongly to weaker US data as markets reassess new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. She suggests limited scope for further hikes but growing risk of earlier rate cuts, leaving USD more vulnerable to negative data than supported by positive surprises. Fed uncertainty weighs on Dollar outlook “Nevertheless, in my view, the risks are asymmetrically distributed. Despite the hawkish surprise at the start of his tenure, the risk is likely growing that, in the face of weak data and falling inflation, Warsh will want to cut interest rates faster and more aggressively. Even if the USD is likely to hold up well for now, it will probably suffer more from weak data than it will appreciate from positive data.” “This is because there is hardly any room for expectations of further rate hikes amid fa