Hungarian Forint: Swap move flags MNB easing risk – Commerzbank
The post Hungarian Forint: Swap move flags MNB easing risk – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) cut the implied rate on EUR liquidity swaps, effectively a 50 bp easing signal that widens the gap to the base rate. While the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) kept the policy rate unchanged and maintains a wait‑and‑see stance, the June Inflation Report could open the door to cuts. The bank does not expect this to hurt the Forint given strong real rates and supportive politics. NBH swap cut prefaces possible rate easing “The National Bank of Hungary (MNB) reduced the implied interest rate on its EUR-liquidity swaps with domestic banks on Wednesday, a move widely seen as a precursor to monetary easing.” “This translates to roughly 50bp rate cut, widening the gap of the swap rate versus the main policy rate to 1pp.” “While not a formal change to the base rate, this can be interpreted as an implicit acknowledge