Brendan Greeley: The dollar exists in multiple forms, understanding monetary sovereignty is crucial for currency control, and the evolution of currency impacts economic discourse | Odd Lots

The post Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP edges lower towards 1.3400 as BoE Bailey buys time appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. British Pound edges lower towards 1.3400 as BoE Bailey buys time The British Pound (GBP) drifts lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, reaching session lows at 1.3408 so far, on track for a moderate weekly decline. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has practically discarded any interest rate hike in the near future, while US data adds pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to tighten its monetary policy. Bailey affirmed at an economic meeting in Reykjavik that ”there is a case for tolerating temporarily above target inflation,” and added that economic activity and the labour market are weighing on second-round effects. The BoE chied also stated that, having taken expected cuts off the table, the bank has already tightened policy considerably in response to the shock relative to what had been expected by markets. Read more… GBP/USD Price

The post USD/CHF Price Forecast: US Dollar clings above 0.7830 with bearish pressure growing appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The US Dollar (USD) is trading flat against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Friday, attempting to hold above 0.7830 after rejection at the 0.7900 area on Thursday. News of an extension of the US-Iran truce has boosted a moderate appetite for risk and is weighing on the safe-haven US Dollar across the board. Axios reported on Thursday that the US and Iran had reached a memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire for 60 days, although the agreement is still pending the signature of US President Donald Trump. Hopes of peace in Iran have offset the positive USD impact of the strong US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index figures seen on Thursday, which keep hopes of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike alive. In Switzerland, the KOF Leading Indicator has shown marginal improvement in economic activity in April, with no relevant impact on the Swiss F

The post Forex Today: Yet to be confirmed US-Iran MOU caps US Dollar’s upside appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 29: The US Dollar (USD) weakened against its major rivals in the second half of the day on Thursday as markets turned optimistic about the United States (US) and Iran reaching a deal to extend the ceasefire and open the Strait of Hormuz. Early Friday, the USD Index holds steady at around 99.00 and US stock index futures trade marginally higher on the day. The economic calendar will feature preliminary May Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Germany and first-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth data from Canada. During the American trading hours, several Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers will be delivering speeches as well. US Dollar Price This week The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen. USD EUR GBP J

Dogecoin started a recovery wave above the $0.0980 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.1010 and might struggle to continue higher. DOGE price started a recovery wave from $0.0965 and climbed above $0.0990. The price is trading below the $0.10 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1010 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it stays above $0.1010. Dogecoin Price Faces Resistance Dogecoin price started a recovery wave from the $0.0965 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.0980 and $0.0988 resistance levels. There was a decent upward move above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1031 swing high to the $0.0964 low. However, the price struggled near $0.10. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1010 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin pri

The post Euro: Weak EU trade and sentiment weigh against US Dollar – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. BNY’s Bob Savage reports that European Union (EU) exports, especially to the United States (US), have weakened sharply and sentiment indicators remain below long‑run averages, underscoring subdued Eurozone momentum. Savage notes that softer producer prices in France, mixed confidence in Italy and Sweden, and broad EUR/USD declines reflect persistent concerns over demand and inflation dynamics across the bloc. Soft data backdrop for Euro “EU external trade data for Q1 showed a marked weakening in exports, particularly to the U.S.” “The EU and euro area sentiment surveys for May showed economic confidence remaining weak despite modest stabilization.” “However, both measures remained well below their long-run averages of 100, signaling continued subdued economic momentum.” “These figures are still below pre-Middle East conflict levels and highlight persistent concerns among househ

The post Canadian Dollar: Rebalancing offers near-term relief – BNY appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Geoff Yu at BNY highlights that Canadian Dollar (CAD) dynamics differ from the U.S., with equity-based rebalancing pointing toward CAD support as growth and allocation trends move opposite to the US Dollar. Fixed income steepening and poor CAD performance are seen amplifying CAD buying signals, suggesting some relief for the Canadian Dollar into month-end. Canadian Dollar supported by flows “Mathematically, our figures suggest that the unwinding of USD/CAD hedges – the discontinuation of forward USD selling against CAD on U.S. positions – played a big role in the dollar’s performance and some reversion is needed.” “The only other equity-based rebalancing signal is in the CAD, where growth and asset allocation trends are pointing in the opposite direction.” “In contrast, CAD buying is being amplified by similar steepening in bond markets on top of poor currency performance.” “USD and

The post British Pound recovers against US Dollar; outlook remains weak due to Iran worries appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The British Pound claws back half of its early losses and rebounds to near 1.3400 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday from the intraday low of 1.3367. The recovery move in the GBP/USD pair appears to be short-lived as Middle East conflicts have re-escalated. At press time, S&P 500 futures and Asian stock markets have also recovered significantly. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, retreats from its intraday high of 99.54, but is still 0.18% higher to near 99.40. A slight correction in the WTI Oil price has also been observed from the day’s high of $91.17 to near $90.14. Geopolitical tensions in the Gulf region have been reignited due to the exchange of attacks between the United States (US) and Iran. Earlier in the day, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IR

The post US Dollar: Data focus and Fed expectations – Commerzbank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that if negotiations with Iran fail to progress, markets will turn to a heavy slate of US data, including the second estimate of first-quarter GDP and key PCE inflation readings. With FOMC rhetoric turning more hawkish, he stresses that solid growth and stronger PCE are needed to sustain current US rate hike expectations and support the US Dollar. US data and Fed rhetoric in focus “If no significant progress is made in today’s negotiations either, the market will likely focus this afternoon on the series of US data set to be released.” “Admittedly, it is ‘only’ the second estimate of US growth in the first quarter, and the PCE index can usually be estimated quite well from the already released inflation and producer price figures.” “However, given that statements from FOMC members have become increasingly hawkish in recent days and weeks – which is