The post After a four-year U.S. ban, Polymarket mounts a major comeback campaign appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Polymarket, which began its return to the U.S. after a four-year ban with the acquisition of QCEX a year ago and the introduction of a mobile trading app in December, has started a campaign to persuade policymakers, regulators and potential users that it is trustworthy, Associated Press reported on Wednesday. According to AP, Polymarket is working with social media influencers to produce viral marketing on TikTok and other platforms and has signed partnership agreements with major sports teams and Major League Baseball as well as news outlets including CNBC and CNN. The steps Polymarket is taking in the U.S. will help legitimize it despite the issues it has faced in the past, Dan Lee, head of U.S. operations, said in an interview with AP on Wednesday. “I think having the international business being the bulk of the volume, it often sort of masks the progress we are maki
The post Omsk refinery hit trims Polymarket odds for United Russia lead to 54.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Jessie A Ellis
Jul 08, 2026 10:33
On Monday, industry sources said Ukraine’s drone strike halted Gazprom Neft’s Omsk refinery after damaging key crude distillation units, with repairs underway and no injuries reported.
Omsk refinery hit trims Polymarket odds for United Russia lead to 54.5% Omsk Refinery Drone Strike Hits Russia’s Fuel Outlook, Nudging United Russia’s Polymarket Odds Down to 54.5% A reported Ukrainian drone strike that halted operations at Russia’s largest oil refinery in Omsk added fresh pressure to Russia’s domestic fuel outlook, a backdrop that can influence perceptions of political stability ahead of the next parliamentary vote. On Polymarket, traders slightly trimmed the market’s implied probability that United Russia (ER) will gain the most seats in the Russian parliamentary election. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices United Russia
Mexico's World Cup performance highlights the growing influence of prediction markets in sports, signaling a shift from traditional fan tokens.
The post Mexico’s World Cup ninth-place finish drove $268M in Polymarket trading volume appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The post US strikes Iran, Polymarket invasion odds rise to 14.5% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Rongchai Wang
Jul 08, 2026 10:28
Early Wednesday, the U.S. launched dozens of strikes on Iran after attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, rattling markets and raising escalation fears.
US strikes Iran, Polymarket invasion odds rise to 14.5% U.S. Strikes on Iran Lift Polymarket “Invade Iran Before 2027” Odds to 14.5% The United States launched dozens of strikes on Iran early Wednesday in what it described as retaliation for Tehran’s attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, deepening fears of a wider Middle East war. On Polymarket, the contract “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” moved up to 14.5% from 11.5%. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices a 14.5% chance of a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027, with “No” leading at 85.5%. Odds rose 3.0 percentage points after reports of fresh U.S. strikes on Iran tied to attacks on tankers in the Strai
The post Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Ted Hisokawa
Jul 08, 2026 10:22
A report said an Israeli strike in Gaza killed an organizer of a World Cup public screening just before kickoff. Polymarket traders are watching for any ripple into U.S.
Gaza strike report fails to move Polymarket, RFK Jr holds 49% for 2028 GOP Gaza Strike Headline Leaves Polymarket’s 2028 GOP Nominee Odds Unchanged, RFK Jr. Holds 49% Lead An Israeli strike in Gaza reported to have killed a World Cup screening organizer just before kickoff had no visible impact on Polymarket pricing for the “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028” contract. The market’s leading implied probability held steady at 49% at the latest snapshot. Key Takeaways Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the top outcome to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49% (No 51%). Odds were unchanged in the latest reading, with the leading
The post Bitcoin Price Prediction as Trump Warns of More U.S. Strikes on Iran appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin remained under pressure as U.S.-Iran tensions pushed traders away from risk assets. The BTC price slipped below $62,000 after losing 3.17% in 24 hours to $61,777. The move tracked a wider market pullback, as total crypto market capitalization fell 3.08% to $2.13 trillion. Selling pressure increased after President Donald Trump said the Iran ceasefire was over. He also warned that the U.S. could launch more strikes after accusing Tehran of violating prior agreements. The latest comments unsettled global markets and lifted oil prices. The disruption of supply in case of tension that poses a threat to shipping routes along the Strait of Hormuz was feared by the traders. 🚨 Markets Slide as US-Iran Tensions Escalate President #Trump declared the U.S.-Iran #ceasefire is over, triggering a broad #market selloff.#Oil jumped 5%, major U.S. stock indexes fell, and the crypt
The post Fed flags AI inflation risk as rate hike odds climb above 59% appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The Federal Reserve has warned that strong artificial intelligence-related demand could keep inflation elevated, while market pricing for a U.S. interest rate hike this year has climbed above 59%. Summary Fed minutes identified AI demand, tariffs, and Middle East tensions as potential drivers of persistent inflation. Most Fed officials said higher rates may be needed if inflation stays above the 2% target. Polymarket now prices a 59% chance of a Fed rate hike this year, while July pause odds remain at 69.5%. According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s June Federal Open Market Committee meeting, policymakers discussed several paths for monetary policy depending on how inflation and the labor market develop. One of the scenarios considered involved inflation staying above the central bank’s 2% target despite a stable labor market, driven by strong AI-related demand, the confl
The Federal Reserve has warned that strong artificial intelligence-related demand could keep inflation elevated, while market pricing for a U.S. interest rate hike this year has climbed above 59%. According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s June Federal Open…
The post Google Puts a New Prediction Markets Ban on Chrome appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Google has banned prediction market extensions from the Chrome Web Store under updated Developer Program Policies. Extensions that facilitate or enable real-money trades on predictive outcomes face enforcement starting August 1, 2026. The change adds a new distribution chokepoint for Polymarket and Kalshi just as sector volumes hit records. Why Google is Blocking Prediction Market Extensions Google announced the changes on July 1 through the Chrome for Developers blog. The company expanded its Regulated Goods and Services policy to name predictive markets as prohibited products. Non-compliant extensions risk removal after the deadline. The update reaches beyond event trading. Extensions may now collect only data strictly necessary to a disclosed single purpose. Developers must also prominently disclose every data practice and flag later changes. A separate rule bans tools built to circumven
