Canadian Dollar holds in range as weaker US Dollar offsets lower Oil prices

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The post Canadian Dollar: Labour data seen softening – TD Securities appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. TD Macro Research expects the Canadian labour market to soften in June, with employment unchanged versus market expectations for a 10k gain after May’s 87.8k surge. They see the unemployment rate steady at 6.6% and wage growth for permanent workers rising modestly to 3.6% year-on-year, only partly reversing May’s sharp deceleration. Jobs surge seen mean-reverting “We look for the Canadian labour market to return to a softer footing in June with employment forecast to remain unchanged (market: +10k) after the creation of 87.8k jobs last month as the unemployment rate holds at 6.6% with a stable participation rate.” “Monthly business surveys have been mixed over June, with a pullback in small business hiring intentions contrasting with the more upbeat performance in the S&P PMIs.” “However, mean reversion will provide the more powerful driver for the softer print with last month’s pe

The post Euro retraces previous gains as Eurozone data paves the way for an ECB pause appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Euro (EUR) has given away most of the daily gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, returning to the 1.1430 area from session highs at 1.1475, which leaves the pair practically flat on the daily chart. Soft economic data from Eurozone countries, coupled with geopolitical uncertainty and higher Oil prices, is posing a significant weight on the Euro rallies. In Germany, June’s final Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) confirmed previous estimations, showing that inflation slowed down to a 2.4% year-over-year (y-o-y) rate from 2.7% in May and from the April peak of 2.9%. Monthly inflation contracted 0.2%, also in line with preliminary estimations, and following a 0.1% contraction in May. At a later time, INSEE revealed that France’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) was also in line with the preliminary estimations. Yearly inflation eased to a 2% rate in June

The post Delta Air Lines (DAL) Q2 2026 earnings appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Delta Air Lines‘ profit goal is in reach this year as the carrier passes along higher fuel costs to customers, pricing power CEO Ed Bastian expects to last even as oil prices drop from multiyear highs. “I think it’s sustainable,” Bastian told CNBC in an interview. He said fares will likely stay strong thanks to robust demand, more diverse seat options, and a more disciplined airline industry that’s learned from the past and isn’t likely to expand capacity as soon oil falls. Delta on Friday forecast third-quarter per-share earnings of between $2.00 and $2.50, compared with analysts’ estimates of $2.02 a share for the period. The company also projected revenue would be up in the mid-teens compared with the July-through-September period of 2025. For the full-year, the carrier reaffirmed its January per-share earnings forecast of between $6.50 and $7.50. Here’s what Delta reported for the second quarter co

The post Euro: Range-bound rebound faces key resistance against US Dollar – Societe Generale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux notes EUR/USD has rebounded after forming an interim low near 1.1325 and moved back into its prior range, signalling limited follow-through on the earlier breakdown. The bank stresses that resistance at 1.1475/1.1500 must be cleared to extend the bounce, while a drop below 1.1390 would risk resuming the broader downtrend. Bounce capped by 1.1500 barrier “EUR/USD has staged a modest rebound after carving out an interim low around 1.1325. The pair has re-integrated within previous range, indicating a lack of follow-through after the recent breakdown.” “However, clear signals of a large up move are not yet visible. The recent pivot high at 1.1475/1.1500 is the first layer of resistance. Overcoming this will be crucial for signalling an extension of the bounce.” “Conversely, there could be a risk of a continuation of the downtren

The post Canadian Dollar: Softer Canada jobs seen weigh against US Dollar – BBH appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad describes USD/CAD trading just below 1.4200 and broadly aligned with US-Canada two-year yield spreads ahead of June labor data. Haddad expects a sharp slowdown in job gains to 10k and sees scope for markets to pare Bank of Canada hike pricing, arguing this adjustment would leave USD/CAD biased higher in coming sessions. Labor data risk skewed to upside “USD/CAD is directionless just under 1.4200.” “Canada’s June labor force survey is the domestic highlight (1:30pm London, 8:30am New York). The economy is expected to add +10.0k jobs in June vs. +87.8k in May and the unemployment rate is forecast to remain at 6.6% for a second straight month.” “USD/CAD is trading in line with US-Canada 2-year bond yield differentials. But there is room for Bank of Canada rate hikes bets (50bps in the next twelve months) to adjust lower, leaving

The post “The bar for a material hawkish turn is high”: ING says the Bank of Canada won’t surprise next week appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is outperforming the US Dollar in the short term, pulling the USD/CAD pair down from recent multi-month highs. This corrective move comes at a crucial juncture, as global markets look ahead to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) upcoming policy meeting. While technical indicators suggest that the Greenback’s premium over the Loonie is overextended relative to bond yields, fundamental analysts caution that domestic softness and looming trade risks will ultimately limit the Canadian Dollar’s scope for a sustained recovery. USD/CAD daily chart. Source: FXStreet. Tactically expensive premium leaves USD/CAD vulnerable to a deeper pullback Societe Generale points out that the US Dollar’s recent rally against the Canadian Dollar has become fundamentally detached from underlying fixed-income markets. After encountering a firm ceiling

The post Gold: Tentative stabilisation on oil relief – OCBC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong highlight that Gold has rebounded as Oil prices eased, reducing inflation and Fed tightening concerns, while a softer US Dollar also supported the move. However, ETF holdings remain lower month-to-date, suggesting the recovery is more relief-driven than a decisive return of investor demand. Near term, Gold could trade with a better tone if Oil and yields stay contained. Relief-driven recovery in Gold “Gold. Tentative stabilisation on oil relief. Gold rebounded as oil prices eased from their recent spike, taking some pressure off inflation expectations, yields and Fed tightening concerns. A softer USD also helped the recovery, after the recent selloff across the precious metals complex.” “But ETF flows have yet to confirm a broader investor rebuild. Bloomberg data show total known gold ETF holdings remain lower month-to-date, even though ho