Japanese Yen: Market probes intervention risk – ABN AMRO

The post Japanese Yen falls as Fed Minutes revive tightening bets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The Japanese Yen (JPY) depreciates by over 0.26% against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday within familiar levels, as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) last meeting minutes showed that the majority of participants indicated that “some policy firming would likely be warranted.” The USD/JPY pair trades at 162.54 after bottoming near 162.03. USD/JPY weakens as hawkish Fed minutes lift Dollar and yields Market mood is mixed, following US President Donald Trump’s change of tone, turning more hawkish against Iran’s behavior, threatening to escalate the conflict. This boosted the Greenback as the US Dollar Index (DXY) reclaimed the 101.00 figure. Digging into the US central bank’s minutes, all officials supported leaving rates unchanged and saw a stable labor market. Most participants “preferred” not to use the previous language, pointing to scenarios in which prices would remain elevated due to AI

The post New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening supports upside – ABN AMRO appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele reports that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lifted its policy rate by 25 bp to 2.5% and signalled more tightening is likely. Despite some easing in energy prices, the bank sees persistent inflation pressures and scope for further reduction in stimulus. With markets pricing additional hikes, ABN AMRO expects modest upside for the New Zealand Dollar versus the US Dollar. RBNZ hikes and signals further tightening “This week, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its policy rate by 25bp to 2.5%.” “It also said that, with inflation still above target and economic activity expected to strengthen, further reduction in monetary stimulus is likely to be needed to bring inflation back to the 2% target midpoint.” “Future OCR decisions will depend on incoming data, price-setting behaviour and the strength of economic activity, and how these factors affect medium

The post Japanese Yen falls near multi-decade lows appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. USD/JPY trades higher near 162.50 on Wednesday, after nearing a four-decade high earlier in the day, as the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by geopolitical risk and caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes. The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure near multi-decade lows, keeping traders alert to possible intervention from Japanese authorities. Support for the Greenback increased after United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that the interim memorandum of understanding with Iran was “over,” indicating his unwillingness to engage with Tehran. This statement boosted safe-haven demand for the USD and caused a rise in oil prices, which heightens concerns over inflation and global risk sentiment. The focus now shifts to the FOMC Minutes from the meeting held on June 16-17, which was the first under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. If the tone is hawkish, it could reinforc

The post Euro: Energy repricing shapes outlook against US Dollar – ABN AMRO appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele notes that the Euro’s relationship with energy prices has evolved, with recent Oil and Gas gains again weighing on EUR/USD. Earlier in the US-Iran conflict, higher energy prices hurt the Euro (EUR), but later the pair became more driven by Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) expectations. She now sees EUR/USD guided by central bank expectations, yield spreads and Eurozone energy risks. Euro sensitivity returns to energy moves “At the start of the US-Iran conflict, higher energy prices weighed on the euro against the US dollar. During the conflict, however, EUR/USD became less sensitive to energy prices and more sensitive to expectations for the Fed and the ECB.” “When a Memorandum of Understanding was announced, energy prices fell sharply, but the euro gained little against the US dollar because markets were focused on expectation

The post Japanese Yen: Oil shock weighs JPY against US Dollar – Scotiabank appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight renewed weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY), which is underperforming G10 peers and threatening fresh multi-decade lows as USD/JPY trades at levels last seen in 1986. They stress that surging Oil prices are a clear downside risk via Japan’s terms of trade, while the chart offers little guidance on resistance after the recent powerful rally. Multi-decade highs and downside risks “The yen is soft, down 0.2% vs. the USD and underperforming most of the G10 currencies into Wednesday’s NA session.” “The renewed weakness is worrisome following last week’s failed recovery and the yen looks to be threatening a break to fresh multi-decade lows.” “The latest resurgence in geopolitical tensions presents a clear downside risk for the yen, as surging oil prices deliver a crushing blow to Japan’s terms of trade.” “The USD/JPY ch

The post Japanese Yen falls as renewed US-Iran tensions boost the US Dollar, Oil prices appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. USD/JPY edges higher on Wednesday as renewed escalation in the Middle East boosts demand for the US Dollar (USD) and lifts Oil prices, weighing on the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 162.50, close to 40-year highs. The United States and Iran exchanged fire overnight following attacks on commercial ships near the Strait of Hormuz earlier this week. On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump declared that the ceasefire deal with Iran was “over” and said dealing with Tehran was “a waste of time” while speaking at the NATO Summit in Ankara, Turkey. The latest escalation has dampened hopes for a near-term peace deal, reigniting concerns over potential disruption to global Oil flows through the critical waterway, where shipping had been gradually improving since last month’s interim peace agreement. The rebound in Oil prices has revi

The post Grok Flags Cryptic Post Claiming Links to Bank of Japan appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Grok said a cryptic X post could refer to a digital yen but found no evidence supporting that interpretation. The anonymous X account claiming Bank of Japan ties has no verified connection to the central bank. Japan continues blockchain payment research, but no official tokenized yen plan has been announced. Speculation spread across social media after Grok analyzed a cryptic post from a pseudonymous X account claiming links to the Bank of Japan. The AI chatbot said the message could be referring to tokenized assets, a wholesale digital yen and cross-border payments, while noting there is no official announcement or evidence to support that interpretation. The discussion began after X user Datguy asked Grok to explain a translated post from the account, Yuto. Grok described it as an anonymous profile that frequently discusses digital currencies and cross-border payments, adding that it

The post Analyst Michael Gayed Names XRP Among Four Assets to Survive a Global Margin Call appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. XRP News Portfolio manager Michael Gayed has placed XRP among a short list of four assets he believes can weather an approaching global margin call, sitting alongside the Japanese yen, gold and oil. Gayed, founder of The Lead-Lag Report, argues the financial system is nearing a point where regulators will be forced to prioritize bond markets over equities. His framework treats XRP not as a speculative altcoin but as a potential capital-transfer channel that could attract flows if a liquidity shock unwinds leveraged positions across traditional markets. The comments circulated widely as XRP traded near $1.08. At the center of the thesis is what Gayed calls a reverse carry trade. For years, investors borrowed cheaply in yen to buy overheated U.S. equities, a strategy that works only while Japanese financing stays loose. Gayed warns that the mechanism can snap vi